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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Benjamin Bonzi v Taylor Fritz

2026-11-03 10:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Benjamin Bonzi (主队)

预测 22.63%4.42公平赔率
EV +4.79%
优势 +1.03%
Kelly +1.32%
增长率 +0.063%

假设最高赔率为 4.63

博彩公司预测分布
20.58%22.78%22.51%25.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.604.194.284.6327.78%23.85%23.39%21.60%最小值均值中位数最大值

Taylor Fritz (客队)

预测 77.37%1.29公平赔率
EV -3.29%
优势 -2.63%
Kelly -13.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.25

博彩公司预测分布
74.75%77.22%77.49%79.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.26%81.97%80.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Benjamin Bonzi (主队)：22.63%；Taylor Fritz (客队)：77.37%。 对于“Benjamin Bonzi (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.42。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为4.63，由此产生+4.79%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯4.63I 21.60%NM 20.58%EV +4.79%E +1.03%K +1.32%G +0.063%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 20:10
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +1.85%E +0.411%K +0.528%G +0.010%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-01 19:04
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.414%E -0.094%K -0.122%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 19:04
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.414%E -0.094%K -0.122%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.71%E -7.38%K -48.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 19:00
Casumo🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
BetRivers🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
Unibet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
Grosvenor🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
TABtouch🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
Bally Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
betPARX🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -2.00%E -0.462%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 19:01
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.00%E -0.462%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 19:04
1xBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.68%E -0.623%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-01 19:10
GTbets🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.68%E -0.623%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-01 20:10
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -3.81%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.84%E -3.93%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.81%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 19:05
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.81%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.94%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.84%E -3.93%K -21.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 19:10
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.94%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 20:15
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.94%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 20:10
Fanatics🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.94%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.07%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 20:14
theScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.39%E -5.28%K -30.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 19:10
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -9.48%E -8.10%K -55.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.47%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 19:04
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.47%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 20:15
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.47%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 19:10
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.47%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 19:05
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.47%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 19:05
picklebet_au🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.60%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -15.13%E -4.03%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 19:08
ReBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -15.13%E -4.03%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.26%E -4.39%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.29%E -2.63%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 18:33
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -17.39%E -4.76%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.41%EV -7.93%E -6.67%K -41.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-01 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -18.52%E -5.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -7.93%E -6.67%K -41.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 19:10
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%11.8%2026-11-01 19:10
Novig◎3.45I 28.99%NM 25.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 74.68%14.5%2026-11-01 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%1.15I 86.96%NM 75.53%15.1%2026-11-01 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%1.15I 86.96%NM 75.53%15.1%2026-11-01 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%1.15I 86.96%NM 75.53%15.1%2026-11-01 19:25
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 26.10%1.13I 88.50%NM 73.90%19.7%2026-11-01 19:25