Language:English
Zizou Bergs v Marko Topo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Prediction 79.90%1.25fair odd
EV +6.27%
Edge +4.71%
Kelly +18.99%
Growth +1.19%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%79.44%80.11%82.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.181.181.3390.09%84.64%84.75%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marko Topo (Visit)
Prediction 20.10%4.98fair odd
EV +10.55%
Edge +1.92%
Kelly +2.34%
Growth +0.247%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.04%20.56%19.89%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.104.634.605.5032.26%21.62%21.74%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zizou Bergs (Local): 79.90%; Marko Topo (Visit): 20.10%. For Marko Topo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.98. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +6.27%E +4.71%K +18.99%G +1.19% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -37.69%E -12.16%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 14:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -0.126%E -0.100%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-14 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -1.72%E -1.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -12.76%E -2.94%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 13:53 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 14:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV -13.37%E -3.10%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:53 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -13.57%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -14.57%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -14.57%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:51 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 13:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 13:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 14:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -3.32%E -2.75%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -9.35%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -3.32%E -2.75%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -9.35%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 13:58 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 13:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.97%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -13.57%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 13:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -16.58%E -4.00%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 13:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 14:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.32%E -6.31%K -45.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -7.32%E -6.31%K -45.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.32%E -6.31%K -45.73%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -6.53%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +5.53%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.072% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +5.53%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.072% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -9.71%E -8.60%K -74.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +10.55%E +1.92%K +2.34%G +0.247% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -9.71%E -8.60%K -74.72%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +6.53%E +1.23%K +1.52%G +0.099% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.41%EV -9.71%E -8.60%K -74.72%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -0.503%E -0.102%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.78%EV -9.71%E -8.60%K -74.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -4.52%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -10.51%E -9.39%K -87.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +5.53%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.072% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -10.51%E -9.39%K -87.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +4.52%E +0.870%K +1.08%G +0.049% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.56%EV -11.31%E -10.19%K -102.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.6% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.6% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.56% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |