La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zizou Bergs v Marko Topo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Predicción 79.90%1.25momio equitativo
EV +6.27%
Ventaja +4.71%
Kelly +18.99%
Crecimiento +1.19%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.98%79.44%80.11%82.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.181.181.3390.09%84.64%84.75%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Marko Topo (Visitante)
Predicción 20.10%4.98momio equitativo
EV +10.55%
Ventaja +1.92%
Kelly +2.34%
Crecimiento +0.247%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.04%20.56%19.89%30.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.104.634.605.5032.26%21.62%21.74%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +6.27%E +4.71%K +18.99%G +1.19% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -37.69%E -12.16%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 14:01 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -0.126%E -0.100%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-14 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -1.72%E -1.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -12.76%E -2.94%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 13:53 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 14:04 |
| GTbets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV -13.37%E -3.10%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:53 |
| ReBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -13.57%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:48 |
| BetUS | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -14.57%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -14.57%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:51 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 13:53 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 13:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 13:58 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 14:04 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -3.32%E -2.75%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -9.35%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -3.32%E -2.75%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -9.35%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 13:58 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 13:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.97%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -13.57%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 13:58 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 13:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -16.58%E -4.00%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 13:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:58 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 14:01 |
| Unibet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betway | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Casumo | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 14:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| betPARX | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.32%E -6.31%K -45.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -7.32%E -6.31%K -45.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.32%E -6.31%K -45.73%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -6.53%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betsson | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +5.53%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.072% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +5.53%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.072% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -9.71%E -8.60%K -74.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +10.55%E +1.92%K +2.34%G +0.247% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -9.71%E -8.60%K -74.72%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +6.53%E +1.23%K +1.52%G +0.099% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Fliff | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.41%EV -9.71%E -8.60%K -74.72%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -0.503%E -0.102%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.78%EV -9.71%E -8.60%K -74.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -4.52%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -10.51%E -9.39%K -87.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +5.53%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.072% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -10.51%E -9.39%K -87.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +4.52%E +0.870%K +1.08%G +0.049% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.56%EV -11.31%E -10.19%K -102.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.6% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.6% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Novig | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.56% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |