La scuola delle quote

Zizou Bergs v Marko Topo

Inizio: 2026-04-14 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Zizou Bergs (Casa)

Previsione 79.90%1.25quota equa
EV +6.27%
Vantaggio +4.71%
Kelly +18.99%
Crescita +1.19%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.98%79.44%80.11%82.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.111.181.181.3390.09%84.64%84.75%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Marko Topo (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.10%4.98quota equa
EV +10.55%
Vantaggio +1.92%
Kelly +2.34%
Crescita +0.247%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.04%20.56%19.89%30.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.104.634.605.5032.26%21.62%21.74%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +6.27%E +4.71%K +18.99%G +1.19%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -37.69%E -12.16%K -17.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 14:01
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -0.126%E -0.100%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-14 14:00
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -1.72%E -1.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -12.76%E -2.94%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 13:53
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 14:04
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV -13.37%E -3.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:53
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -13.57%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:48
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -14.57%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:59
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -14.57%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:51
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 13:53
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 13:49
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 13:58
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:00
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 14:04
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 13:55
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 14:05
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 14:05
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -3.32%E -2.75%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -9.35%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 13:59
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -3.32%E -2.75%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -9.35%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 13:58
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 14:05
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 13:54
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.97%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 14:05
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -13.57%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 13:58
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 13:55
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -16.58%E -4.00%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:54
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001%4.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:58
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 14:05
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 14:01
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-14 14:05
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-14 14:05
Casumo1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-14 14:05
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-14 14:04
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-14 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 14:05
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 14:05
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 14:05
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.32%E -6.31%K -45.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001%6.2%2026-04-14 14:05
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -7.32%E -6.31%K -45.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 14:05
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.32%E -6.31%K -45.73%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -6.53%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 14:05
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001%7.0%2026-04-14 14:05
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 14:05
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 14:05
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 14:05
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +5.53%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.072%6.8%2026-04-14 14:05
BetMGM1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +5.53%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.072%6.8%2026-04-14 14:05
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001%7.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 14:05
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 14:05
Sky Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -9.71%E -8.60%K -74.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +10.55%E +1.92%K +2.34%G +0.247%6.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Winamax (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -9.71%E -8.60%K -74.72%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +6.53%E +1.23%K +1.52%G +0.099%7.4%2026-04-14 14:05
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 81.41%EV -9.71%E -8.60%K -74.72%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -0.503%E -0.102%K -0.127%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.78%EV -9.71%E -8.60%K -74.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -4.52%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-14 14:05
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -10.51%E -9.39%K -87.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +5.53%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.072%8.3%2026-04-14 14:05
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -10.51%E -9.39%K -87.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +4.52%E +0.870%K +1.08%G +0.049%8.5%2026-04-14 14:05
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 80.56%EV -11.31%E -10.19%K -102.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-14 14:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-04-14 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-04-14 14:05
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-04-14 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-04-14 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-04-14 14:05
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 82.56%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%7.2%2026-04-14 14:05