مدرسة الاحتمالات

Zizou Bergs v Marko Topo

البداية: 2026-04-14 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Zizou Bergs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 79.90%1.25السعر العادل
EV +6.27%
الأفضلية +4.71%
Kelly +18.99%
النمو +1.19%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.98%79.44%80.11%82.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.111.181.181.3390.09%84.64%84.75%75.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Marko Topo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.10%4.98السعر العادل
EV +10.55%
الأفضلية +1.92%
Kelly +2.34%
النمو +0.247%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.04%20.56%19.89%30.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.104.634.605.5032.26%21.62%21.74%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +6.27%E +4.71%K +18.99%G +1.19%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -37.69%E -12.16%K -17.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 14:01
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -0.126%E -0.100%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-14 14:00
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -1.72%E -1.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -12.76%E -2.94%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 13:53
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 14:04
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV -13.37%E -3.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:53
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -13.57%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:48
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -14.57%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:59
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -14.57%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:51
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 13:53
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 13:49
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 13:58
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:00
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 14:04
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 13:55
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 14:05
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 14:05
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -3.32%E -2.75%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -9.35%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 13:59
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -3.32%E -2.75%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -9.35%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 13:58
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 14:05
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 13:54
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.97%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 14:05
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -13.57%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 13:58
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 13:55
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -16.58%E -4.00%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:54
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001%4.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:58
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 14:05
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 14:01
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-14 14:05
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-14 14:05
Casumo1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-14 14:05
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-14 14:04
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-14 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 14:05
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 14:05
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 14:05
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.32%E -6.31%K -45.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001%6.2%2026-04-14 14:05
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -7.32%E -6.31%K -45.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 14:05
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.32%E -6.31%K -45.73%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -6.53%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 14:05
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001%7.0%2026-04-14 14:05
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 14:05
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 14:05
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 14:05
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +5.53%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.072%6.8%2026-04-14 14:05
BetMGM1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +5.53%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.072%6.8%2026-04-14 14:05
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +0.502%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001%7.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 14:05
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 14:05
Sky Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -9.71%E -8.60%K -74.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +10.55%E +1.92%K +2.34%G +0.247%6.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Winamax (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -9.71%E -8.60%K -74.72%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +6.53%E +1.23%K +1.52%G +0.099%7.4%2026-04-14 14:05
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 81.41%EV -9.71%E -8.60%K -74.72%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -0.503%E -0.102%K -0.127%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.78%EV -9.71%E -8.60%K -74.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -4.52%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-14 14:05
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -10.51%E -9.39%K -87.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +5.53%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.072%8.3%2026-04-14 14:05
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -10.51%E -9.39%K -87.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +4.52%E +0.870%K +1.08%G +0.049%8.5%2026-04-14 14:05
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 80.56%EV -11.31%E -10.19%K -102.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-14 14:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-04-14 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-04-14 14:05
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-04-14 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-04-14 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-04-14 14:05
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 82.56%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%7.2%2026-04-14 14:05