Язык:Русский
Zhizhen Zhang v Luciano Darderi
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Zhizhen Zhang (Хозяева)
Прогноз 28.67%3.49справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.20%
Преимущество +0.340%
Kelly +0.475%
Рост +0.006%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.53
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.93%28.63%28.73%30.20%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.293.303.5332.26%30.42%30.30%28.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Luciano Darderi (Гости)
Прогноз 71.33%1.40справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.56%
Преимущество -1.13%
Kelly -4.11%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.38
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
69.80%71.37%71.27%73.07%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.271.321.331.3878.74%75.53%75.19%72.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Zhizhen Zhang (Хозяева): 28.67%; Luciano Darderi (Гости): 71.33%. Для исхода «Zhizhen Zhang (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.49. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.53, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.20%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV +1.20%E +0.340%K +0.475%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 08:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +0.342%E +0.098%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.342%E +0.098%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.342%E +0.098%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.09%E -0.316%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -1.38%E -0.401%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.53%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.70%E -2.74%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.53%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.53%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.41%E -7.41%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.78%EV -2.81%E -0.829%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.22%EV -2.28%E -1.66%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -2.81%E -0.829%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -4.25%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -4.82%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 08:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -8.55%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -1.56%E -1.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -8.55%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -1.56%E -1.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.92% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.08% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |