Język:Polski
Zhizhen Zhang v Luciano Darderi
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Zhizhen Zhang (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 28.67%3.49kurs godziwy
EV +1.20%
Przewaga +0.340%
Kelly +0.475%
Wzrost +0.006%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.53
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.93%28.63%28.73%30.20%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.293.303.5332.26%30.42%30.30%28.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Luciano Darderi (Goście)
Prognoza 71.33%1.40kurs godziwy
EV -1.56%
Przewaga -1.13%
Kelly -4.11%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.38
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
69.80%71.37%71.27%73.07%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.271.321.331.3878.74%75.53%75.19%72.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Zhizhen Zhang (Gospodarze): 28.67%; Luciano Darderi (Goście): 71.33%. Dla wyniku Zhizhen Zhang (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.49. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.53, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.20%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV +1.20%E +0.340%K +0.475%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 08:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +0.342%E +0.098%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.342%E +0.098%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.342%E +0.098%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.09%E -0.316%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -1.38%E -0.401%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.53%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.70%E -2.74%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.53%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.53%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.41%E -7.41%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.78%EV -2.81%E -0.829%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.22%EV -2.28%E -1.66%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -2.81%E -0.829%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -4.25%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -4.82%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 08:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -8.55%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -1.56%E -1.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -8.55%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -1.56%E -1.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.92% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.08% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |