Lingua:Italiano
Zhizhen Zhang v Luciano Darderi
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Zhizhen Zhang (Casa)
Previsione 28.67%3.49quota equa
EV +1.20%
Vantaggio +0.340%
Kelly +0.475%
Crescita +0.006%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.53
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.93%28.63%28.73%30.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.293.303.5332.26%30.42%30.30%28.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Luciano Darderi (Trasferta)
Previsione 71.33%1.40quota equa
EV -1.56%
Vantaggio -1.13%
Kelly -4.11%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.80%71.37%71.27%73.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.321.331.3878.74%75.53%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Zhizhen Zhang (Casa): 28.67%; Luciano Darderi (Trasferta): 71.33%. Per Zhizhen Zhang (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.49. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.53, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.20%.
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV +1.20%E +0.340%K +0.475%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 08:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +0.342%E +0.098%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.342%E +0.098%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.342%E +0.098%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.09%E -0.316%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -1.38%E -0.401%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.53%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.70%E -2.74%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.53%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.53%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.41%E -7.41%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.78%EV -2.81%E -0.829%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.22%EV -2.28%E -1.66%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -2.81%E -0.829%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -4.25%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -4.82%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 08:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -8.55%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -1.56%E -1.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -8.55%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -1.56%E -1.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.92% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.08% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |