A Escola das Odds

Zhizhen Zhang v Luciano Darderi

Início: 2026-04-14 09:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Zhizhen Zhang (Local)

Previsão 28.67%3.49odd justa
EV +1.20%
Vantagem +0.340%
Kelly +0.475%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.93%28.63%28.73%30.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.293.303.5332.26%30.42%30.30%28.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Luciano Darderi (Visitante)

Previsão 71.33%1.40odd justa
EV -1.56%
Vantagem -1.13%
Kelly -4.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.80%71.37%71.27%73.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.271.321.331.3878.74%75.53%75.19%72.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betclic (FR)3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV +1.20%E +0.340%K +0.475%G +0.006%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 08:55
Pinnacle3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +0.342%E +0.098%K +0.137%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 08:59
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.342%E +0.098%K +0.137%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.342%E +0.098%K +0.137%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 09:00
FanDuel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.09%E -0.316%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -1.38%E -0.401%K -0.565%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 08:59
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.53%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.70%E -2.74%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.53%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 08:59
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.53%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.41%E -7.41%K -34.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 09:00
GTbets3.39I 29.50%NM 28.78%EV -2.81%E -0.829%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.22%EV -2.28%E -1.66%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-14 09:00
1xBet3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -2.81%E -0.829%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
ReBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 08:59
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 09:00
DraftKings3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -4.25%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 09:00
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -4.82%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Hard Rock Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 09:00
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 09:00
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 08:59
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 09:00
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 09:00
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 08:58
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 09:00
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 08:59
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 08:59
LowVig.ag3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -8.55%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -1.56%E -1.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 09:00
BetOnline.ag3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -8.55%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -1.56%E -1.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 09:00
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-04-14 09:00
ProphetX3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%1.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Novig3.61I 27.70%NM 26.92%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.08%2.9%2026-04-14 09:00