مدرسة الاحتمالات

Zhizhen Zhang v Luciano Darderi

البداية: 2026-04-14 09:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Zhizhen Zhang (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.67%3.49السعر العادل
EV +1.20%
الأفضلية +0.340%
Kelly +0.475%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.93%28.63%28.73%30.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.293.303.5332.26%30.42%30.30%28.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Luciano Darderi (الضيف)

التنبؤ 71.33%1.40السعر العادل
EV -1.56%
الأفضلية -1.13%
Kelly -4.11%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.80%71.37%71.27%73.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.271.321.331.3878.74%75.53%75.19%72.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Betclic (FR)3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV +1.20%E +0.340%K +0.475%G +0.006%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 08:55
Pinnacle3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +0.342%E +0.098%K +0.137%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 08:59
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.342%E +0.098%K +0.137%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.342%E +0.098%K +0.137%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 09:00
FanDuel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.09%E -0.316%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -1.38%E -0.401%K -0.565%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 08:59
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.53%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.70%E -2.74%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.53%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 08:59
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.53%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.41%E -7.41%K -34.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 09:00
GTbets3.39I 29.50%NM 28.78%EV -2.81%E -0.829%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.22%EV -2.28%E -1.66%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-14 09:00
1xBet3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -2.81%E -0.829%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
ReBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 08:59
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 09:00
DraftKings3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -4.25%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 09:00
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -4.82%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Hard Rock Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 09:00
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 09:00
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 08:59
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 09:00
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 09:00
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 08:58
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 09:00
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 08:59
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 08:59
LowVig.ag3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -8.55%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -1.56%E -1.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 09:00
BetOnline.ag3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -8.55%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -1.56%E -1.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 09:00
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 09:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-04-14 09:00
ProphetX3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%1.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Novig3.61I 27.70%NM 26.92%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.08%2.9%2026-04-14 09:00