預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Daniel Altmaier v Alex Molcan

開賽時間: 2026-04-16 11:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

51 家博彩公司 (20 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Daniel Altmaier (主隊)

預測 56.03%1.78公平賠率
EV -0.830%
優勢 -0.469%
Kelly -1.08%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.77

博彩公司預測分布
53.91%56.10%56.09%59.18%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.601.691.701.7762.50%59.11%58.82%56.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Alex Molcan (客隊)

預測 43.97%2.27公平賠率
EV +2.02%
優勢 +0.869%
Kelly +1.53%
成長率 +0.031%

假設最高賠率為 2.32

博彩公司預測分布
40.82%43.90%43.91%46.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.002.132.102.3250.00%47.04%47.62%43.10%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Daniel Altmaier (主隊):56.03%;Alex Molcan (客隊):43.97%。 對於「Alex Molcan (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.27的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為2.32,對應+2.02%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (51 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -10.36%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV +2.02%E +0.869%K +1.53%G +0.031%5.6%2026-04-16 10:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.06%E -0.472%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 10:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -1.50%E -0.671%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 10:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -1.50%E -0.671%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-16 10:30
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 10:27
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 10:30
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 10:30
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.58%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.02%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 10:29
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 10:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 10:30
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 10:30
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 10:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -10.36%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 10:29
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 10:30
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 10:30
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 10:30
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 10:30
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 10:24
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 10:30
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 10:23
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 10:21
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 10:29
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 10:30
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 10:30
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 10:30
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 10:24
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.54%E -4.10%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 10:25
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.54%E -4.10%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 10:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.54%E -4.10%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.54%E -4.10%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 10:30
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.830%E -0.469%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -8.98%E -4.34%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 10:30
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -9.42%E -4.57%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 10:30
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 10:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -8.67%E -5.32%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -12.06%E -6.03%K -12.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-16 10:30
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-04-16 10:30