La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Daniel Altmaier v Alex Molcan
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Daniel Altmaier (Casa)
Previsione 56.03%1.78quota equa
EV -0.830%
Vantaggio -0.469%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.91%56.10%56.09%59.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.691.701.7762.50%59.11%58.82%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Alex Molcan (Trasferta)
Previsione 43.97%2.27quota equa
EV +2.02%
Vantaggio +0.869%
Kelly +1.53%
Crescita +0.031%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.32
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.82%43.90%43.91%46.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.132.102.3250.00%47.04%47.62%43.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -10.36%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV +2.02%E +0.869%K +1.53%G +0.031% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.06%E -0.472%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -1.50%E -0.671%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 10:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -1.50%E -0.671%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 10:27 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.58%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.02%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 10:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -10.36%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 10:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Unibet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 10:24 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 10:23 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 10:21 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 10:29 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 10:24 |
| GTbets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.54%E -4.10%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 10:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.54%E -4.10%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.54%E -4.10%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.54%E -4.10%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.830%E -0.469%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -8.98%E -4.34%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -9.42%E -4.57%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -8.67%E -5.32%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -12.06%E -6.03%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44% | 2.3% | 2026-04-16 10:30 |