A Escola das Odds

Daniel Altmaier v Alex Molcan

Início: 2026-04-16 11:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Daniel Altmaier (Local)

Previsão 56.03%1.78odd justa
EV -0.830%
Vantagem -0.469%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.91%56.10%56.09%59.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.691.701.7762.50%59.11%58.82%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alex Molcan (Visitante)

Previsão 43.97%2.27odd justa
EV +2.02%
Vantagem +0.869%
Kelly +1.53%
Crescimento +0.031%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.82%43.90%43.91%46.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.132.102.3250.00%47.04%47.62%43.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -10.36%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV +2.02%E +0.869%K +1.53%G +0.031%5.6%2026-04-16 10:30
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.06%E -0.472%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 10:30
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -1.50%E -0.671%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 10:29
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -1.50%E -0.671%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-16 10:30
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 10:27
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 10:30
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 10:30
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.58%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.02%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 10:29
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 10:30
Betr (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 10:30
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 10:30
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 10:30
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -10.36%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 10:29
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 10:30
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 10:30
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 10:30
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 10:30
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 10:24
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 10:30
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 10:23
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 10:21
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 10:29
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 10:30
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 10:30
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 10:30
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 10:24
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.54%E -4.10%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 10:25
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.54%E -4.10%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 10:30
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.54%E -4.10%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.54%E -4.10%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 10:30
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.830%E -0.469%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -8.98%E -4.34%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 10:30
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -9.42%E -4.57%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 10:30
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 10:30
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -8.67%E -5.32%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -12.06%E -6.03%K -12.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-16 10:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-04-16 10:30