默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arthur Rinderknech v Joao Fonseca

开赛时间: 2026-04-15 09:35 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (23 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arthur Rinderknech (主队)

预测 27.26%3.67公平赔率
EV +1.67%
优势 +0.449%
Kelly +0.613%
增长率 +0.010%

假设最高赔率为 3.73

博彩公司预测分布
25.55%27.22%27.37%28.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.433.403.7330.77%29.16%29.41%26.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

Joao Fonseca (客队)

预测 72.74%1.37公平赔率
EV -3.25%
优势 -2.45%
Kelly -9.86%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.33

博彩公司预测分布
71.27%72.78%72.63%74.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.311.311.3380.00%76.56%76.34%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Arthur Rinderknech (主队):27.26%;Joao Fonseca (客队):72.74%。 对于“Arthur Rinderknech (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.67。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.73,对应+1.67%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV +1.67%E +0.449%K +0.613%G +0.010%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 07:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -0.507%E -0.139%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-15 07:35
Pinnacle🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV -0.780%E -0.214%K -0.295%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-15 08:45
GTbets🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.46%EV -0.780%E -0.214%K -0.295%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.54%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 00:19
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 07:23
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 05:24
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 07:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.07%E -7.26%K -36.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.23%E -0.911%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 08:49
ReBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 08:10
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 07:25
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 07:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 08:20
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 19:25
NetBet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.62%E -6.00%K -28.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
1xBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -5.14%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 08:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 07:15
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 07:15
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 08:35
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 07:35
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 07:35
theScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 07:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 07:35
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 06:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 07:35
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 07:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 08:30
Coolbet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.78%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:45
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:29
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:29
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Bally Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 06:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 08:30
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 06:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 06:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:35
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:19
Fliff🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 08:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 08:40
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 06:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 08:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 08:30
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 20:30
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 20:29
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 21:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 06:30
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 06:30
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 06:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 08:30
Everygame🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 06:25
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 08:29
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 07:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Novig3.66I 27.32%NM 26.95%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.05%1.4%2026-04-15 08:45
ProphetX3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00%1.5%2026-04-15 08:50
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%1.7%2026-04-15 08:40