مدرسة الاحتمالات

Arthur Rinderknech v Joao Fonseca

البداية: 2026-04-15 09:35 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Arthur Rinderknech (المضيف)

التنبؤ 27.26%3.67السعر العادل
EV +1.67%
الأفضلية +0.449%
Kelly +0.613%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.55%27.22%27.37%28.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.433.403.7330.77%29.16%29.41%26.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Joao Fonseca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 72.74%1.37السعر العادل
EV -3.25%
الأفضلية -2.45%
Kelly -9.86%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.27%72.78%72.63%74.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.311.311.3380.00%76.56%76.34%75.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV +1.67%E +0.449%K +0.613%G +0.010%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 07:30
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -0.507%E -0.139%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-15 07:35
Pinnacle3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV -0.780%E -0.214%K -0.295%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-15 08:45
GTbets3.64I 27.47%NM 26.46%EV -0.780%E -0.214%K -0.295%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.54%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 00:19
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 07:23
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 05:24
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 07:05
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.07%E -7.26%K -36.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 00:20
Betclic (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.23%E -0.911%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 08:49
ReBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 08:10
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 07:25
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 07:35
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 08:20
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 19:25
NetBet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.62%E -6.00%K -28.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
1xBet3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -5.14%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 08:30
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 07:15
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 07:15
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 08:35
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 07:35
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 07:35
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 07:40
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 07:35
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 06:50
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 07:35
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 07:05
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 08:30
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.78%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:35
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:45
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:29
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:29
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 06:30
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 08:30
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 06:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 06:35
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:35
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:19
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 08:10
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 08:40
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 06:54
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 08:30
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 08:30
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 20:30
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 20:29
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 21:15
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 06:30
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 06:30
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 06:25
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 08:30
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 06:25
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 08:29
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 07:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Novig3.66I 27.32%NM 26.95%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.05%1.4%2026-04-15 08:45
ProphetX3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00%1.5%2026-04-15 08:50
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%1.7%2026-04-15 08:40