Szkoła Kursów

Arthur Rinderknech v Joao Fonseca

Początek: 2026-04-15 09:35 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Arthur Rinderknech (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 27.26%3.67kurs godziwy
EV +1.67%
Przewaga +0.449%
Kelly +0.613%
Wzrost +0.010%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.73

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.55%27.22%27.37%28.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.253.433.403.7330.77%29.16%29.41%26.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Joao Fonseca (Goście)

Prognoza 72.74%1.37kurs godziwy
EV -3.25%
Przewaga -2.45%
Kelly -9.86%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.33

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
71.27%72.78%72.63%74.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.251.311.311.3380.00%76.56%76.34%75.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
DraftKings3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV +1.67%E +0.449%K +0.613%G +0.010%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 07:30
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -0.507%E -0.139%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-15 07:35
Pinnacle3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV -0.780%E -0.214%K -0.295%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-15 08:45
GTbets3.64I 27.47%NM 26.46%EV -0.780%E -0.214%K -0.295%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.54%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 00:19
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 07:23
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 05:24
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 07:05
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.07%E -7.26%K -36.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 00:20
Betclic (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.23%E -0.911%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 08:49
ReBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 08:10
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 07:25
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 07:35
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 08:20
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 19:25
NetBet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.62%E -6.00%K -28.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
1xBet3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -5.14%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 08:30
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 07:15
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 07:15
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 08:35
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 07:35
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 07:35
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 07:40
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 07:35
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 06:50
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 07:35
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 07:05
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 08:30
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.78%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:35
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:45
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:29
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:29
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 06:30
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 08:30
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 06:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 06:35
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:35
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:19
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 08:10
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 08:40
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 06:54
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 08:30
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 08:30
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 20:30
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 20:29
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 21:15
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 06:30
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 06:30
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 06:25
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 08:30
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 06:25
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 08:29
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 07:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Novig3.66I 27.32%NM 26.95%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.05%1.4%2026-04-15 08:45
ProphetX3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00%1.5%2026-04-15 08:50
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%1.7%2026-04-15 08:40