La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Arthur Rinderknech v Joao Fonseca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arthur Rinderknech (Local)
Predicción 27.26%3.67momio equitativo
EV +1.67%
Ventaja +0.449%
Kelly +0.613%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.55%27.22%27.37%28.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.433.403.7330.77%29.16%29.41%26.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Joao Fonseca (Visitante)
Predicción 72.74%1.37momio equitativo
EV -3.25%
Ventaja -2.45%
Kelly -9.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.27%72.78%72.63%74.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.311.311.3380.00%76.56%76.34%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV +1.67%E +0.449%K +0.613%G +0.010% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 07:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -0.507%E -0.139%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-15 07:35 |
| Pinnacle | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV -0.780%E -0.214%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-15 08:45 |
| GTbets | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.46%EV -0.780%E -0.214%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.54%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-15 00:19 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 07:23 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 05:24 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 07:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.07%E -7.26%K -36.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.23%E -0.911%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 08:49 |
| ReBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 08:10 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 07:25 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 07:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 08:20 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 19:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.62%E -6.00%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| 1xBet | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -5.14%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 07:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 07:15 |
| Bet Right | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 08:35 |
| NordicBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 07:35 |
| Betsson | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 07:35 |
| theScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 07:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 07:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 06:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 07:35 |
| SportsBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 07:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| Coolbet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.78%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 08:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 08:45 |
| Casumo | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 08:29 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 08:29 |
| Unibet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| Bally Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| betPARX | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 06:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 06:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 06:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 07:35 |
| Caesars | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 07:19 |
| Fliff | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 08:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 08:40 |
| BetUS | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 06:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 20:30 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 20:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 06:30 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 06:30 |
| TAB | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 06:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| Everygame | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 06:25 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 08:29 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 07:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Novig | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.95% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.05% | 1.4% | 2026-04-15 08:45 |
| ProphetX | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00% | 1.5% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-04-15 08:40 |