A Escola das Odds

Arthur Rinderknech v Joao Fonseca

Início: 2026-04-15 09:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Arthur Rinderknech (Local)

Previsão 27.26%3.67odd justa
EV +1.67%
Vantagem +0.449%
Kelly +0.613%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.55%27.22%27.37%28.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.433.403.7330.77%29.16%29.41%26.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Joao Fonseca (Visitante)

Previsão 72.74%1.37odd justa
EV -3.25%
Vantagem -2.45%
Kelly -9.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.27%72.78%72.63%74.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.311.311.3380.00%76.56%76.34%75.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV +1.67%E +0.449%K +0.613%G +0.010%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 07:30
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -0.507%E -0.139%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-15 07:35
Pinnacle3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV -0.780%E -0.214%K -0.295%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-15 08:45
GTbets3.64I 27.47%NM 26.46%EV -0.780%E -0.214%K -0.295%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.54%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 00:19
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 07:23
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 05:24
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 07:05
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.07%E -7.26%K -36.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 00:20
Betclic (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.23%E -0.911%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 08:49
ReBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 08:10
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 07:25
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 07:35
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 08:20
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 19:25
NetBet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.62%E -6.00%K -28.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
1xBet3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -5.14%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 08:30
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 07:15
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 07:15
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 08:35
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 07:35
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 07:35
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 07:40
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 07:35
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 06:50
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 07:35
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 07:05
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 08:30
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.78%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:35
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:45
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:29
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:29
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.02%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:30
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 06:30
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 08:30
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 06:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 06:35
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:35
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:19
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 08:10
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 08:40
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 06:54
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 08:30
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 08:30
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 20:30
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 20:29
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 21:15
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.25%E -2.45%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 06:30
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 06:30
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 06:25
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 08:30
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 06:25
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 08:29
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 07:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Novig3.66I 27.32%NM 26.95%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.05%1.4%2026-04-15 08:45
ProphetX3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00%1.5%2026-04-15 08:50
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%1.7%2026-04-15 08:40