Language:English
Alexander Zverev v Francisco Cerundolo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Prediction 69.78%1.43fair odd
EV -0.906%
Edge -0.638%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%69.61%69.57%71.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.351.4276.92%73.75%74.07%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Visit)
Prediction 30.22%3.31fair odd
EV +2.73%
Edge +0.804%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.42%30.39%30.43%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.123.143.4036.36%32.07%31.85%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Zverev (Local): 69.78%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visit): 30.22%. For Francisco Cerundolo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +2.73%E +0.804%K +1.14%G +0.031% | 3.5% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -0.892%E -0.272%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -8.58%E -6.55%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -2.10%E -0.648%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 10:37 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.28%E -7.14%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.91%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.82%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 10:38 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.82%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.73%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -7.24%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 10:37 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -0.906%E -0.638%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -16.91%E -6.15%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64% | 2.2% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17% | 2.3% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |