L’École des cotes

Alexander Zverev v Francisco Cerundolo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 10:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prévision 69.78%1.43cote équitable
EV -0.906%
Avantage -0.638%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.95%69.61%69.57%71.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.361.351.4276.92%73.75%74.07%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.22%3.31cote équitable
EV +2.73%
Avantage +0.804%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.42%30.39%30.43%34.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.123.143.4036.36%32.07%31.85%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +2.73%E +0.804%K +1.14%G +0.031%3.5%2026-04-17 10:45
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -0.892%E -0.272%K -0.391%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-17 10:40
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-17 10:39
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.800%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 10:39
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.800%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 10:44
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -8.58%E -6.55%K -27.69%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -2.10%E -0.648%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 10:45
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 10:39
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 10:45
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:39
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:40
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:40
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:39
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:39
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:39
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:40
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:44
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:44
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:44
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:44
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:37
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:39
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 10:45
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 10:44
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 10:44
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.28%E -7.14%K -30.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 10:39
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 10:44
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.91%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 10:40
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.82%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 10:38
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.82%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 10:44
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 10:39
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 10:40
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.73%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 10:39
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:39
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:39
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 10:40
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 10:39
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 10:39
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 10:39
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 10:39
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 10:39
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 10:39
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 10:40
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 10:44
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 10:45
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -7.24%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 10:39
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 10:40
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 10:39
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 10:40
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 10:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 10:39
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 10:39
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 10:39
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 10:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:39
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:39
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:44
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:44
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 10:37
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 10:39
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -0.906%E -0.638%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -16.91%E -6.15%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 10:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-04-17 10:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-04-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-04-17 10:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-04-17 10:40
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-17 10:45
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-04-17 10:39
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%2.3%2026-04-17 10:44