La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexander Zverev v Francisco Cerundolo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Predicción 69.78%1.43momio equitativo
EV -0.906%
Ventaja -0.638%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.95%69.61%69.57%71.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.351.4276.92%73.75%74.07%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante)
Predicción 30.22%3.31momio equitativo
EV +2.73%
Ventaja +0.804%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.031%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.42%30.39%30.43%34.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.123.143.4036.36%32.07%31.85%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +2.73%E +0.804%K +1.14%G +0.031% | 3.5% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| GTbets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -0.892%E -0.272%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -8.58%E -6.55%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -2.10%E -0.648%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Casumo | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Unibet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| betPARX | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| Bally Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 10:37 |
| FanDuel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.28%E -7.14%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.91%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| BetUS | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.82%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 10:38 |
| ReBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.82%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.73%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| Fliff | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -7.24%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 10:37 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -0.906%E -0.638%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -16.91%E -6.15%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64% | 2.2% | 2026-04-17 10:39 |
| Novig | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17% | 2.3% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |