La scuola delle quote

Alexander Zverev v Francisco Cerundolo

Inizio: 2026-04-17 10:50 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alexander Zverev (Casa)

Previsione 69.78%1.43quota equa
EV -0.906%
Vantaggio -0.638%
Kelly -2.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.95%69.61%69.57%71.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.361.351.4276.92%73.75%74.07%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Francisco Cerundolo (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.22%3.31quota equa
EV +2.73%
Vantaggio +0.804%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescita +0.031%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.42%30.39%30.43%34.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.123.143.4036.36%32.07%31.85%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +2.73%E +0.804%K +1.14%G +0.031%3.5%2026-04-17 10:45
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -0.892%E -0.272%K -0.391%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-17 10:40
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-17 10:39
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.800%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 10:39
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.800%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 10:44
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -8.58%E -6.55%K -27.69%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -2.10%E -0.648%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 10:45
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 10:39
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 10:45
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:39
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:40
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:40
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:39
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:39
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:39
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:40
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:44
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:44
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:44
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:44
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:37
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:39
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 10:45
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 10:44
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 10:44
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.28%E -7.14%K -30.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 10:39
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 10:44
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.91%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 10:40
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.82%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 10:38
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.82%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 10:44
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 10:39
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 10:40
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.73%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 10:39
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:39
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 10:39
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 10:40
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 10:39
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 10:39
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 10:39
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 10:39
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 10:39
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 10:39
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 10:40
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 10:44
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 10:45
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -7.24%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 10:39
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 10:40
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 10:39
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 10:40
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 10:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 10:39
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 10:39
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 10:39
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.19%E -5.40%K -21.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 10:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:39
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:39
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:44
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:44
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 10:37
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 10:39
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -0.906%E -0.638%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -16.91%E -6.15%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 10:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-04-17 10:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-04-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-04-17 10:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-04-17 10:40
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-17 10:45
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-04-17 10:39
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%2.3%2026-04-17 10:44