Language:English
Zizou Bergs v Alexander Zverev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Prediction 20.27%4.93fair odd
EV +7.45%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +1.73%
Growth +0.129%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.21%20.52%20.41%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.554.605.3025.00%21.97%21.74%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Zverev (Visit)
Prediction 79.73%1.25fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.919%
Kelly -4.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%79.48%79.59%81.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.191.201.2486.96%83.73%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zizou Bergs (Local): 20.27%; Alexander Zverev (Visit): 79.73%. For Zizou Bergs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.93. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +7.45%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.129% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.31%EV +5.83%E +1.12%K +1.38%G +0.080% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.69%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +5.42%E +1.04%K +1.29%G +0.070% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 08:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +3.40%E +0.666%K +0.828%G +0.028% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 09:07 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 08:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.52%E -6.48%K -46.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.31%E -7.23%K -55.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 09:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +0.354%E +0.072%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -7.52%E -6.48%K -46.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +0.354%E +0.072%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -7.52%E -6.48%K -46.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -0.660%E -0.135%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.50%EV -3.30%E -0.691%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.50%EV -1.94%E -1.57%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-09 07:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -3.70%E -0.779%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -4.31%E -0.913%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.44%EV -4.51%E -0.958%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.56%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -5.73%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -5.73%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -8.31%E -7.23%K -55.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -8.31%E -7.23%K -55.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -8.57%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 07:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -8.57%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 07:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -8.31%E -7.23%K -55.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.80%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 08:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.80%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -12.82%E -2.98%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 02:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -12.82%E -2.98%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 06:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -1.14%E -0.919%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 15:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 17:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 07:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 17:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49% | 0.2% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49% | 0.2% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 1.2% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.94% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.06% | 1.5% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |