La scuola delle quote

Zizou Bergs v Alexander Zverev

Inizio: 2026-04-09 09:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Zizou Bergs (Casa)

Previsione 20.27%4.93quota equa
EV +7.45%
Vantaggio +1.41%
Kelly +1.73%
Crescita +0.129%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.21%20.52%20.41%23.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.554.605.3025.00%21.97%21.74%18.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexander Zverev (Trasferta)

Previsione 79.73%1.25quota equa
EV -1.14%
Vantaggio -0.919%
Kelly -4.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.24

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
76.63%79.48%79.59%81.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.191.201.2486.96%83.73%83.33%80.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +7.45%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.129%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 09:10
DraftKings5.22I 19.16%NM 18.31%EV +5.83%E +1.12%K +1.38%G +0.080%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.69%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 09:10
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +5.42%E +1.04%K +1.29%G +0.070%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 08:59
SportsBet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +3.40%E +0.666%K +0.828%G +0.028%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:00
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 09:07
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 09:10
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 08:59
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.52%E -6.48%K -46.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 09:05
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.31%E -7.23%K -55.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 09:08
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +0.354%E +0.072%K +0.090%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -7.52%E -6.48%K -46.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 09:09
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +0.354%E +0.072%K +0.090%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -7.52%E -6.48%K -46.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 09:09
Winamax (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -0.660%E -0.135%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 09:10
Pinnacle4.77I 20.96%NM 20.50%EV -3.30%E -0.691%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.50%EV -1.94%E -1.57%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-09 07:30
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -3.70%E -0.779%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-09 09:05
1xBet4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -4.31%E -0.913%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 09:04
GTbets4.71I 21.23%NM 20.44%EV -4.51%E -0.958%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.56%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-09 09:05
theScore Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -5.73%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -26.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 09:10
Fanatics4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -5.73%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -8.31%E -7.23%K -55.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:05
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 07:45
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:05
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:05
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:04
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:05
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:04
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:05
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:04
Bally Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:04
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:05
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:04
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:05
Fliff4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -8.31%E -7.23%K -55.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-09 09:10
LowVig.ag4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -8.57%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 07:04
BetOnline.ag4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -8.57%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 07:04
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 09:04
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 09:10
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 09:04
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 09:04
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 09:10
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 09:05
NetBet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 09:00
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -8.31%E -7.23%K -55.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-09 09:04
ReBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.80%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 08:05
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.80%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 09:10
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -12.82%E -2.98%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 02:55
Everygame4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -12.82%E -2.98%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 06:00
BetUS4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -1.14%E -0.919%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 08:50
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 15:54
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 17:39
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 17:40
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 09:09
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 07:04
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 15:55
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 09:10
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 09:10
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 09:10
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 17:50
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 17:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49%0.2%2026-04-09 09:10
Matchbook5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49%0.2%2026-04-09 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-04-09 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-04-09 09:10
ProphetX5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%1.2%2026-04-09 09:10
Novig5.49I 18.21%NM 17.94%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.06%1.5%2026-04-09 09:10
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%2.9%2026-04-09 09:10