Idioma:Español
Zizou Bergs v Alexander Zverev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Predicción 20.27%4.93momio equitativo
EV +7.45%
Ventaja +1.41%
Kelly +1.73%
Crecimiento +0.129%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.21%20.52%20.41%23.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.554.605.3025.00%21.97%21.74%18.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Predicción 79.73%1.25momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.919%
Kelly -4.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.63%79.48%79.59%81.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.151.191.201.2486.96%83.73%83.33%80.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Zizou Bergs (Local): 20.27%; Alexander Zverev (Visitante): 79.73%. Para Zizou Bergs (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.93. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.45%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +7.45%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.129% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.31%EV +5.83%E +1.12%K +1.38%G +0.080% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.69%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +5.42%E +1.04%K +1.29%G +0.070% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 08:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +3.40%E +0.666%K +0.828%G +0.028% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 09:07 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 08:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.52%E -6.48%K -46.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.31%E -7.23%K -55.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 09:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +0.354%E +0.072%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -7.52%E -6.48%K -46.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +0.354%E +0.072%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -7.52%E -6.48%K -46.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -0.660%E -0.135%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.50%EV -3.30%E -0.691%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.50%EV -1.94%E -1.57%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-09 07:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -3.70%E -0.779%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -4.31%E -0.913%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.44%EV -4.51%E -0.958%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.56%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -5.73%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -5.73%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -8.31%E -7.23%K -55.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -8.31%E -7.23%K -55.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -8.57%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 07:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -8.57%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 07:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -8.31%E -7.23%K -55.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.80%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 08:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.80%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -12.82%E -2.98%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 02:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -12.82%E -2.98%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 06:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -1.14%E -0.919%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 15:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 17:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 07:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 17:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49% | 0.2% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49% | 0.2% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 1.2% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.94% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.06% | 1.5% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |