L’École des cotes

Zizou Bergs v Alexander Zverev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-09 09:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Prévision 20.27%4.93cote équitable
EV +7.45%
Avantage +1.41%
Kelly +1.73%
Croissance +0.129%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.21%20.52%20.41%23.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.554.605.3025.00%21.97%21.74%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)

Prévision 79.73%1.25cote équitable
EV -1.14%
Avantage -0.919%
Kelly -4.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.63%79.48%79.59%81.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.191.201.2486.96%83.73%83.33%80.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +7.45%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.129%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 09:10
DraftKings5.22I 19.16%NM 18.31%EV +5.83%E +1.12%K +1.38%G +0.080%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.69%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 09:10
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +5.42%E +1.04%K +1.29%G +0.070%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 08:59
SportsBet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +3.40%E +0.666%K +0.828%G +0.028%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:00
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 09:07
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 09:10
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 08:59
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.52%E -6.48%K -46.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 09:05
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +1.37%E +0.274%K +0.342%G +0.005%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.31%E -7.23%K -55.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 09:08
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +0.354%E +0.072%K +0.090%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -7.52%E -6.48%K -46.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 09:09
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +0.354%E +0.072%K +0.090%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -7.52%E -6.48%K -46.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 09:09
Winamax (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -0.660%E -0.135%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.72%E -5.74%K -39.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 09:10
Pinnacle4.77I 20.96%NM 20.50%EV -3.30%E -0.691%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.50%EV -1.94%E -1.57%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-09 07:30
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -3.70%E -0.779%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-09 09:05
1xBet4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -4.31%E -0.913%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 09:04
GTbets4.71I 21.23%NM 20.44%EV -4.51%E -0.958%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.56%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-09 09:05
theScore Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -5.73%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -26.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 09:10
Fanatics4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -5.73%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -8.31%E -7.23%K -55.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:05
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 07:45
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:05
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:05
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:04
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:05
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:04
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:05
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:04
Bally Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:04
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:05
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:04
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:05
Fliff4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -8.31%E -7.23%K -55.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-09 09:10
LowVig.ag4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -8.57%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 07:04
BetOnline.ag4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -8.57%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 07:04
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 09:04
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 09:10
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 09:04
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 09:04
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 09:10
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 09:05
NetBet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 09:00
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -8.77%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -8.31%E -7.23%K -55.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-09 09:04
ReBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.80%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 08:05
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.80%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 09:10
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -12.82%E -2.98%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.53%E -2.92%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 02:55
Everygame4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -12.82%E -2.98%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -5.92%E -5.02%K -32.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 06:00
BetUS4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -1.14%E -0.919%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 08:50
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 15:54
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 17:39
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 17:40
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 09:09
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.85%E -3.54%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 07:04
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 15:55
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 09:10
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 09:10
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.73%E -2.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 09:10
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 17:50
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.91%E -4.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.33%E -3.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 17:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49%0.2%2026-04-09 09:10
Matchbook5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49%0.2%2026-04-09 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-04-09 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-04-09 09:10
ProphetX5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%1.2%2026-04-09 09:10
Novig5.49I 18.21%NM 17.94%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.06%1.5%2026-04-09 09:10
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%2.9%2026-04-09 09:10