Language:English
Valentin Vacherot v Kamil Majchrzak
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Valentin Vacherot (Local)
Prediction 56.81%1.76fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.663%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%56.85%56.85%59.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.651.661.7465.79%60.54%60.24%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kamil Majchrzak (Visit)
Prediction 43.19%2.32fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.862%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.32%43.15%43.15%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.202.2748.78%45.89%45.45%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valentin Vacherot (Local): 56.81%; Kamil Majchrzak (Visit): 43.19%. For Valentin Vacherot (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.74, with an expected value of -1.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -1.15%E -0.663%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.86%E -1.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.96%E -0.862%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 13:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 19:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.56%E -2.72%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.41%E -2.47%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.56%E -2.72%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 21:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.70%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.70%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.70%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 13:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.84%E -2.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.83%E -4.17%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.83%E -4.17%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -5.84%E -2.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.83%E -4.17%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.83%E -4.17%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.82%E -1.25%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.10%EV -9.11%E -5.69%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.90%EV -8.00%E -3.76%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 19:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -9.11%E -5.69%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.13%EV -8.87%E -4.20%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.40%EV -9.11%E -5.69%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -10.59%E -5.12%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.81%E -6.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.82%E -1.25%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.79%EV -11.38%E -7.29%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -13.65%E -8.98%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -2.82%E -1.25%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36% | 2.6% | 2026-04-04 20:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 21:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |