مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Valentin Vacherot v Kamil Majchrzak
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Valentin Vacherot (المضيف)
التنبؤ 56.81%1.76السعر العادل
EV -1.15%
الأفضلية -0.663%
Kelly -1.56%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.74
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.70%56.85%56.85%59.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.521.651.661.7465.79%60.54%60.24%57.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Kamil Majchrzak (الضيف)
التنبؤ 43.19%2.32السعر العادل
EV -1.96%
الأفضلية -0.862%
Kelly -1.54%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.27
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.32%43.15%43.15%44.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.182.202.2748.78%45.89%45.45%44.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (40 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -1.15%E -0.663%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.86%E -1.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.96%E -0.862%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 13:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:54 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 19:58 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 21:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.56%E -2.72%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.41%E -2.47%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.56%E -2.72%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 21:03 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 21:30 |
| Betsson | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.70%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.70%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.70%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 13:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.84%E -2.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.83%E -4.17%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.83%E -4.17%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -5.84%E -2.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.83%E -4.17%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.83%E -4.17%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.82%E -1.25%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.10%EV -9.11%E -5.69%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.90%EV -8.00%E -3.76%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 19:19 |
| ReBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -9.11%E -5.69%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.13%EV -8.87%E -4.20%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.40%EV -9.11%E -5.69%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -10.59%E -5.12%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.81%E -6.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.82%E -1.25%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.79%EV -11.38%E -7.29%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -13.65%E -8.98%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -2.82%E -1.25%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (7)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36% | 2.6% | 2026-04-04 20:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Novig | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 21:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |