语言:简体中文
Valentin Vacherot v Kamil Majchrzak
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Valentin Vacherot (主队)
预测 56.81%1.76公平赔率
EV -1.15%
优势 -0.663%
Kelly -1.56%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.74
博彩公司预测分布
55.70%56.85%56.85%59.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.651.661.7465.79%60.54%60.24%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
Kamil Majchrzak (客队)
预测 43.19%2.32公平赔率
EV -1.96%
优势 -0.862%
Kelly -1.54%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.27
博彩公司预测分布
40.32%43.15%43.15%44.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.182.202.2748.78%45.89%45.45%44.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Valentin Vacherot (主队)：56.81%；Kamil Majchrzak (客队)：43.19%。 对于“Valentin Vacherot (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.76。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.74，期望值为-1.15%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -1.15%E -0.663%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.86%E -1.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.96%E -0.862%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 13:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 19:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.56%E -2.72%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.41%E -2.47%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.56%E -2.72%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 21:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.70%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.70%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.70%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 13:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.84%E -2.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.83%E -4.17%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.83%E -4.17%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -5.84%E -2.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.83%E -4.17%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.83%E -4.17%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.82%E -1.25%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.10%EV -9.11%E -5.69%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.90%EV -8.00%E -3.76%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 19:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -9.11%E -5.69%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.13%EV -8.87%E -4.20%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.40%EV -9.11%E -5.69%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -10.59%E -5.12%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.81%E -6.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.82%E -1.25%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.79%EV -11.38%E -7.29%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -13.65%E -8.98%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -2.82%E -1.25%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36% | 2.6% | 2026-04-04 20:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 21:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |