L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Valentin Vacherot v Kamil Majchrzak
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Valentin Vacherot (Local)
Prévision 56.81%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.663%
Kelly -1.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.70%56.85%56.85%59.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.651.661.7465.79%60.54%60.24%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Kamil Majchrzak (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.19%2.32cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -0.862%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.32%43.15%43.15%44.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.182.202.2748.78%45.89%45.45%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -1.15%E -0.663%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.86%E -1.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.96%E -0.862%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 13:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:54 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 19:58 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 21:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.56%E -2.72%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.41%E -2.47%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.56%E -2.72%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 21:03 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 21:30 |
| Betsson | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.70%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.70%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.70%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 13:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.84%E -2.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.83%E -4.17%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.83%E -4.17%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -5.84%E -2.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.83%E -4.17%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.83%E -4.17%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.82%E -1.25%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.10%EV -9.11%E -5.69%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.90%EV -8.00%E -3.76%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 19:19 |
| ReBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -9.11%E -5.69%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.13%EV -8.87%E -4.20%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.40%EV -9.11%E -5.69%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -10.59%E -5.12%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.81%E -6.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.82%E -1.25%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.79%EV -11.38%E -7.29%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 19:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -13.65%E -8.98%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -2.82%E -1.25%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36% | 2.6% | 2026-04-04 20:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Novig | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 21:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |