La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Valentin Vacherot v Alex de Minaur
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Valentin Vacherot (Casa)
Previsione 34.42%2.91quota equa
EV +10.14%
Vantaggio +3.17%
Kelly +4.61%
Crescita +0.467%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.73%33.91%34.57%36.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.592.792.753.2038.61%35.85%36.36%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Alex de Minaur (Trasferta)
Previsione 65.58%1.52quota equa
EV +0.995%
Vantaggio +0.646%
Kelly +1.84%
Crescita +0.018%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.54
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.17%66.09%65.43%71.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.421.431.5477.52%70.33%69.93%64.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +10.14%E +3.17%K +4.61%G +0.467% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -11.47%E -8.49%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Fliff | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV +10.14%E +3.17%K +4.61%G +0.467% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -15.40%E -11.94%K -53.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +6.70%E +2.16%K +3.19%G +0.214% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -12.78%E -9.61%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +4.98%E +1.63%K +2.43%G +0.121% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +4.98%E +1.63%K +2.43%G +0.121% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +4.98%E +1.63%K +2.43%G +0.121% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +4.98%E +1.63%K +2.43%G +0.121% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -12.12%E -9.05%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.26%E +1.09%K +1.63%G +0.053% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 15:33 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +3.26%E +1.09%K +1.63%G +0.053% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +3.26%E +1.09%K +1.63%G +0.053% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.78%E -9.61%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV +1.54%E +0.521%K +0.787%G +0.012% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV +1.54%E +0.521%K +0.787%G +0.012% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV +1.19%E +0.405%K +0.614%G +0.007% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.185%E -0.064%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 15:33 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -1.91%E -0.669%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -13.43%E -10.18%K -41.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| GTbets | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -3.28%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -2.94%E -1.99%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-10 10:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 15:31 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.28%E -1.53%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-10 15:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.28%E -1.53%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-10 15:01 |
| SportsBet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.41%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.59%EV -8.84%E -6.36%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| ReBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 14:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 06:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| BetAnything | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.28%E -1.53%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 15:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Betsson | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 15:33 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 14:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -8.10%E -3.03%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV +0.995%E +0.646%K +1.84%G +0.018% | 2.4% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.60%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 15:27 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.63%E -1.09%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 23:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.94%E -1.99%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -10.86%E -4.19%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -0.972%E -0.644%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 15:25 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| ProphetX | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11% | 3.1% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Novig | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99% | 8.2% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |