L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Valentin Vacherot v Alex de Minaur
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Valentin Vacherot (Local)
Prévision 34.42%2.91cote équitable
EV +10.14%
Avantage +3.17%
Kelly +4.61%
Croissance +0.467%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.73%33.91%34.57%36.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.592.792.753.2038.61%35.85%36.36%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alex de Minaur (Visiteur)
Prévision 65.58%1.52cote équitable
EV +0.995%
Avantage +0.646%
Kelly +1.84%
Croissance +0.018%
avec la cote maximale 1.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.17%66.09%65.43%71.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.421.431.5477.52%70.33%69.93%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +10.14%E +3.17%K +4.61%G +0.467% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -11.47%E -8.49%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Fliff | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV +10.14%E +3.17%K +4.61%G +0.467% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -15.40%E -11.94%K -53.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +6.70%E +2.16%K +3.19%G +0.214% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -12.78%E -9.61%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +4.98%E +1.63%K +2.43%G +0.121% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +4.98%E +1.63%K +2.43%G +0.121% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +4.98%E +1.63%K +2.43%G +0.121% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +4.98%E +1.63%K +2.43%G +0.121% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -12.12%E -9.05%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.26%E +1.09%K +1.63%G +0.053% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 15:33 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +3.26%E +1.09%K +1.63%G +0.053% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +3.26%E +1.09%K +1.63%G +0.053% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.78%E -9.61%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV +1.54%E +0.521%K +0.787%G +0.012% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV +1.54%E +0.521%K +0.787%G +0.012% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV +1.19%E +0.405%K +0.614%G +0.007% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.185%E -0.064%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 15:33 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -1.91%E -0.669%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -13.43%E -10.18%K -41.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| GTbets | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -3.28%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -2.94%E -1.99%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-10 10:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 15:31 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.28%E -1.53%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-10 15:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.28%E -1.53%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-10 15:01 |
| SportsBet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.41%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.59%EV -8.84%E -6.36%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| ReBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 14:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 06:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| BetAnything | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.28%E -1.53%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 15:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Betsson | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 15:33 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 14:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -8.10%E -3.03%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV +0.995%E +0.646%K +1.84%G +0.018% | 2.4% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.60%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 15:27 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.63%E -1.09%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 23:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.94%E -1.99%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -10.86%E -4.19%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -0.972%E -0.644%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 15:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| ProphetX | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11% | 3.1% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Novig | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99% | 8.2% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |