La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Valentin Vacherot v Alex de Minaur
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Valentin Vacherot (Local)
Predicción 34.42%2.91momio equitativo
EV +10.14%
Ventaja +3.17%
Kelly +4.61%
Crecimiento +0.467%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.73%33.91%34.57%36.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.592.792.753.2038.61%35.85%36.36%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alex de Minaur (Visitante)
Predicción 65.58%1.52momio equitativo
EV +0.995%
Ventaja +0.646%
Kelly +1.84%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.17%66.09%65.43%71.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.421.431.5477.52%70.33%69.93%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +10.14%E +3.17%K +4.61%G +0.467% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -11.47%E -8.49%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Fliff | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV +10.14%E +3.17%K +4.61%G +0.467% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -15.40%E -11.94%K -53.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +6.70%E +2.16%K +3.19%G +0.214% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -12.78%E -9.61%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +4.98%E +1.63%K +2.43%G +0.121% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +4.98%E +1.63%K +2.43%G +0.121% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +4.98%E +1.63%K +2.43%G +0.121% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +4.98%E +1.63%K +2.43%G +0.121% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -12.12%E -9.05%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.26%E +1.09%K +1.63%G +0.053% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 15:33 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +3.26%E +1.09%K +1.63%G +0.053% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +3.26%E +1.09%K +1.63%G +0.053% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.78%E -9.61%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV +1.54%E +0.521%K +0.787%G +0.012% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV +1.54%E +0.521%K +0.787%G +0.012% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV +1.19%E +0.405%K +0.614%G +0.007% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.185%E -0.064%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 15:33 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -1.91%E -0.669%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -13.43%E -10.18%K -41.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| GTbets | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -3.28%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -2.94%E -1.99%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-10 10:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 15:31 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.28%E -1.53%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-10 15:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.28%E -1.53%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-10 15:01 |
| SportsBet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.41%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.59%EV -8.84%E -6.36%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| ReBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 14:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 06:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| BetAnything | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.28%E -1.53%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 15:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Betsson | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 15:33 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 14:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -8.10%E -3.03%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV +0.995%E +0.646%K +1.84%G +0.018% | 2.4% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.60%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 15:27 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.63%E -1.09%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 23:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.94%E -1.99%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -10.86%E -4.19%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -0.972%E -0.644%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 15:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| ProphetX | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11% | 3.1% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Novig | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99% | 8.2% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |