مدرسة الاحتمالات

Valentin Vacherot v Alex de Minaur

البداية: 2026-04-10 15:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Valentin Vacherot (المضيف)

التنبؤ 34.42%2.91السعر العادل
EV +10.14%
الأفضلية +3.17%
Kelly +4.61%
النمو +0.467%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.73%33.91%34.57%36.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.592.792.753.2038.61%35.85%36.36%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alex de Minaur (الضيف)

التنبؤ 65.58%1.52السعر العادل
EV +0.995%
الأفضلية +0.646%
Kelly +1.84%
النمو +0.018%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
63.17%66.09%65.43%71.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.291.421.431.5477.52%70.33%69.93%64.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +10.14%E +3.17%K +4.61%G +0.467%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -11.47%E -8.49%K -32.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 15:34
Fliff3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV +10.14%E +3.17%K +4.61%G +0.467%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -15.40%E -11.94%K -53.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +6.70%E +2.16%K +3.19%G +0.214%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -12.78%E -9.61%K -38.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 15:34
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +4.98%E +1.63%K +2.43%G +0.121%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 15:35
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +4.98%E +1.63%K +2.43%G +0.121%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 15:34
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +4.98%E +1.63%K +2.43%G +0.121%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 15:34
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +4.98%E +1.63%K +2.43%G +0.121%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -12.12%E -9.05%K -35.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 15:35
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.26%E +1.09%K +1.63%G +0.053%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 15:33
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +3.26%E +1.09%K +1.63%G +0.053%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 15:34
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +3.26%E +1.09%K +1.63%G +0.053%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.78%E -9.61%K -38.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 15:34
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV +1.54%E +0.521%K +0.787%G +0.012%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 15:34
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV +1.54%E +0.521%K +0.787%G +0.012%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 15:34
DraftKings2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV +1.19%E +0.405%K +0.614%G +0.007%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 15:35
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.185%E -0.064%K -0.098%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 15:33
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -1.91%E -0.669%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -13.43%E -10.18%K -41.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 15:34
GTbets2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -3.28%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -2.94%E -1.99%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-10 10:14
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 15:15
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 15:31
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 15:35
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 15:35
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 15:35
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 15:35
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 15:35
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 15:35
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 15:35
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 15:34
LowVig.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.28%E -1.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-10 15:01
BetOnline.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.28%E -1.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-10 15:01
SportsBet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.41%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.59%EV -8.84%E -6.36%K -22.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 15:30
ReBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 14:15
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 15:35
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 15:34
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 06:00
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 15:35
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 15:35
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 15:35
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.28%E -1.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 15:29
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 15:35
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 15:35
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 15:35
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 15:15
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 15:33
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 14:15
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 15:35
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -8.10%E -3.03%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV +0.995%E +0.646%K +1.84%G +0.018%2.4%2026-04-10 15:30
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.60%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 15:27
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 15:30
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 15:35
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 15:30
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 15:30
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 15:35
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.63%E -1.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 23:44
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.94%E -1.99%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 12:20
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 12:20
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 15:35
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 15:30
1xBet2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -10.86%E -4.19%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -0.972%E -0.644%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 15:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-04-10 15:35
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-04-10 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-04-10 15:35
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-04-10 15:35
ProphetX2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%3.1%2026-04-10 15:35
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%4.4%2026-04-10 15:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%8.2%2026-04-10 15:35