语言:简体中文
Tomas Machac v Jannik Sinner
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Tomas Machac (主队)
预测 5.09%19.65公平赔率
EV +108.69%
优势 +2.65%
Kelly +2.72%
增长率 +2.95%
假设最高赔率为 41.00
博彩公司预测分布
2.40%5.29%5.25%9.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
10.0017.7315.0041.0010.00%5.64%6.67%2.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
Jannik Sinner (客队)
预测 94.91%1.05公平赔率
EV -1.29%
优势 -1.24%
Kelly -32.34%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.04
博彩公司预测分布
90.58%94.71%94.75%97.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.001.021.011.04100.00%98.36%99.01%96.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tomas Machac (主队)：5.09%；Jannik Sinner (客队)：94.91%。 对于“Tomas Machac (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为19.65。 当时有16家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为41.00，对应+108.69%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.40%EV +108.69%E +2.65%K +2.72%G +2.95% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.60%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%EV +78.15%E +2.23%K +2.30%G +1.80% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +73.06%E +2.15%K +2.21%G +1.62% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%EV +52.70%E +1.76%K +1.82%G +0.958% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-09 11:18 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +1.80%E +0.090%K +0.095%G +0.002% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -3.29%E -0.173%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 11:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -3.29%E -0.173%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -8.38%E -0.466%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 11:27 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 17.79I 5.62%NM 5.52%EV -9.45%E -0.531%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.48%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.46%EV -10.93%E -0.624%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.54%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -13.47%E -0.792%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -18.56%E -1.16%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -18.56%E -1.16%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -18.56%E -1.16%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 11:22 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -26.20%E -1.81%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -26.20%E -1.81%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 11:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 14.06I 7.11%NM 6.83%EV -28.43%E -2.02%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.17%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 11:18 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -28.74%E -2.05%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 11:26 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 11:27 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 11:27 |
| Neds🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 11:28 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -36.38%E -2.91%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -38.92%E -3.24%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -38.92%E -3.24%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 11:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -41.47%E -3.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 11:26 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -46.56%E -4.43%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 11:26 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.17% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.83% | 0.2% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 44.00I 2.27%NM 2.27% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.73% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Novig◎ | 28.57I 3.50%NM 3.38% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.62% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |