A Escola das Odds

Tomas Machac v Jannik Sinner

Início: 2026-04-09 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tomas Machac (Local)

Previsão 5.09%19.65odd justa
EV +108.69%
Vantagem +2.65%
Kelly +2.72%
Crescimento +2.95%

pressupondo odds máximas de 41.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
2.40%5.29%5.25%9.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
10.0017.7315.0041.0010.00%5.64%6.67%2.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jannik Sinner (Visitante)

Previsão 94.91%1.05odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -32.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
90.58%94.71%94.75%97.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.021.011.04100.00%98.36%99.01%96.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel41.00I 2.44%NM 2.40%EV +108.69%E +2.65%K +2.72%G +2.95%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.60%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%1.4%2026-04-09 11:30
DraftKings35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%EV +78.15%E +2.23%K +2.30%G +1.80%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-09 11:30
Paddy Power34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +73.06%E +2.15%K +2.21%G +1.62%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 11:30
Winamax (FR)30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%EV +52.70%E +1.76%K +1.82%G +0.958%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-09 11:30
Winamax (DE)29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 11:30
888sport29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 11:30
Mr Green (SE)29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 11:30
888sport (SE)29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 11:30
BoyleSports26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 11:30
Coral26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 11:30
BetMGM26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 11:30
theScore Bet26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 11:30
Bovada26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 11:29
1xBet21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-09 11:18
Betclic (FR)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +1.80%E +0.090%K +0.095%G +0.002%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-09 11:30
Unibet (UK)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -3.29%E -0.173%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 11:29
Betway19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -3.29%E -0.173%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 11:30
Unibet (SE)18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -8.38%E -0.466%K -0.493%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 11:27
Pinnacle17.79I 5.62%NM 5.52%EV -9.45%E -0.531%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 94.48%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-09 11:05
Coolbet17.50I 5.71%NM 5.46%EV -10.93%E -0.624%K -0.662%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.54%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 11:30
Fanatics17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -13.47%E -0.792%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 11:30
PointsBet (AU)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -18.56%E -1.16%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 11:30
LowVig.ag16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -18.56%E -1.16%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 11:05
BetOnline.ag16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -18.56%E -1.16%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 11:05
William Hill15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 11:05
Unibet (FR)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 11:05
SportsBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 11:05
ReBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 11:05
PlayUp15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 11:22
NordicBet14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -26.20%E -1.81%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 11:30
Betsson14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -26.20%E -1.81%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 11:29
GTbets14.06I 7.11%NM 6.83%EV -28.43%E -2.02%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.17%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 11:18
Bet Right14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -28.74%E -2.05%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 11:05
Hard Rock Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 11:26
Bet Victor13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 11:29
LiveScore Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 11:27
Virgin Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 11:27
Neds13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 11:05
Caesars13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 11:28
Betr (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -36.38%E -2.91%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 11:05
Bally Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -38.92%E -3.24%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 11:05
TAB12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -38.92%E -3.24%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 11:04
PMU (FR)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -41.47%E -3.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-09 11:05
Unibet (NL)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 11:25
Casumo11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 11:25
Unibet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 11:25
Svenska Spel11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 11:25
ATG (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 11:25
betPARX11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 11:26
LeoVegas10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -46.56%E -4.43%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 11:26
TABtouch10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 11:25
Grosvenor10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 11:25
Tipico (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 11:05
NetBet (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 11:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)46.00I 2.17%NM 2.17%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.83%0.2%2026-04-09 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)44.00I 2.27%NM 2.27%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.73%0.3%2026-04-09 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%1.0%2026-04-09 11:30
Smarkets50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%1.0%2026-04-09 11:30
Matchbook50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%1.0%2026-04-09 11:30
ProphetX50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%1.0%2026-04-09 11:30
Novig28.57I 3.50%NM 3.38%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.62%3.5%2026-04-09 11:30