La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Tomas Machac v Jannik Sinner
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tomas Machac (Local)
Predicción 5.09%19.65momio equitativo
EV +108.69%
Ventaja +2.65%
Kelly +2.72%
Crecimiento +2.95%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 41.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
2.40%5.29%5.25%9.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
10.0017.7315.0041.0010.00%5.64%6.67%2.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jannik Sinner (Visitante)
Predicción 94.91%1.05momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -32.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
90.58%94.71%94.75%97.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.001.021.011.04100.00%98.36%99.01%96.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.40%EV +108.69%E +2.65%K +2.72%G +2.95% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.60%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%EV +78.15%E +2.23%K +2.30%G +1.80% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Paddy Power | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +73.06%E +2.15%K +2.21%G +1.62% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%EV +52.70%E +1.76%K +1.82%G +0.958% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| 888sport | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| BoyleSports | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Coral | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| BetMGM | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| theScore Bet | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Bovada | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 11:29 |
| 1xBet | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-09 11:18 |
| Betclic (FR) | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +1.80%E +0.090%K +0.095%G +0.002% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -3.29%E -0.173%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 11:29 |
| Betway | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -3.29%E -0.173%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -8.38%E -0.466%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 11:27 |
| Pinnacle | 17.79I 5.62%NM 5.52%EV -9.45%E -0.531%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.48%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Coolbet | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.46%EV -10.93%E -0.624%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.54%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Fanatics | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -13.47%E -0.792%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -18.56%E -1.16%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -18.56%E -1.16%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -18.56%E -1.16%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| William Hill | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| SportsBet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| ReBet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| PlayUp | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 11:22 |
| NordicBet | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -26.20%E -1.81%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Betsson | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -26.20%E -1.81%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 11:29 |
| GTbets | 14.06I 7.11%NM 6.83%EV -28.43%E -2.02%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.17%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 11:18 |
| Bet Right | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -28.74%E -2.05%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 11:26 |
| Bet Victor | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 11:27 |
| Virgin Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 11:27 |
| Neds | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Caesars | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 11:28 |
| Betr (AU) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -36.38%E -2.91%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Bally Bet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -38.92%E -3.24%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| TAB | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -38.92%E -3.24%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 11:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -41.47%E -3.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| Casumo | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| Unibet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| betPARX | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 11:26 |
| LeoVegas | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -46.56%E -4.43%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 11:26 |
| TABtouch | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| Grosvenor | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.17% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.83% | 0.2% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 44.00I 2.27%NM 2.27% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.73% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Smarkets | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| ProphetX | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Novig | 28.57I 3.50%NM 3.38% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.62% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |