StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tomas Machac v Jannik Sinner

Matchstart: 2026-04-09 12:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tomas Machac (Hemma)

Prognos 5.09%19.65rättvist odds
EV +108.69%
Fördel +2.65%
Kelly +2.72%
Tillväxt +2.95%

med antagandet om högsta odds 41.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
2.40%5.29%5.25%9.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
10.0017.7315.0041.0010.00%5.64%6.67%2.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jannik Sinner (Borta)

Prognos 94.91%1.05rättvist odds
EV -1.29%
Fördel -1.24%
Kelly -32.34%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
90.58%94.71%94.75%97.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.001.021.011.04100.00%98.36%99.01%96.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Tomas Machac (Hemma): 5.09%; Jannik Sinner (Borta): 94.91%. För Tomas Machac (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 19.65. 16 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 41.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +108.69%.

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.40%EV +108.69%E +2.65%K +2.72%G +2.95%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.60%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%1.4%2026-04-09 11:30
DraftKings🎯35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%EV +78.15%E +2.23%K +2.30%G +1.80%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-09 11:30
Paddy Power🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +73.06%E +2.15%K +2.21%G +1.62%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%EV +52.70%E +1.76%K +1.82%G +0.958%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-09 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 11:30
888sport🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 11:30
BoyleSports🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 11:30
Coral🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 11:30
BetMGM🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 11:30
theScore Bet🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 11:30
Bovada🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 11:29
1xBet🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-09 11:18
Betclic (FR)🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +1.80%E +0.090%K +0.095%G +0.002%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-09 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -3.29%E -0.173%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 11:29
Betway🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -3.29%E -0.173%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -8.38%E -0.466%K -0.493%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 11:27
Pinnacle🎯17.79I 5.62%NM 5.52%EV -9.45%E -0.531%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 94.48%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-09 11:05
Coolbet🎯17.50I 5.71%NM 5.46%EV -10.93%E -0.624%K -0.662%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.54%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 11:30
Fanatics🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -13.47%E -0.792%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 11:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -18.56%E -1.16%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -18.56%E -1.16%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 11:05
BetOnline.ag🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -18.56%E -1.16%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 11:05
William Hill🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 11:05
Unibet (FR)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 11:05
SportsBet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 11:05
ReBet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 11:05
PlayUp🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 11:22
NordicBet🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -26.20%E -1.81%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 11:30
Betsson🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -26.20%E -1.81%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 11:29
GTbets🎯14.06I 7.11%NM 6.83%EV -28.43%E -2.02%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.17%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 11:18
Bet Right🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -28.74%E -2.05%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 11:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 11:26
Bet Victor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 11:29
LiveScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 11:27
Virgin Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 11:27
Neds🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 11:05
Caesars🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 11:28
Betr (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -36.38%E -2.91%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 11:05
Bally Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -38.92%E -3.24%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 11:05
TAB🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -38.92%E -3.24%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 11:04
PMU (FR)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -41.47%E -3.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-09 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 11:25
Casumo🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 11:25
Unibet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 11:25
betPARX🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 11:26
LeoVegas🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -46.56%E -4.43%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 11:26
TABtouch🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 11:25
Grosvenor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 11:05
NetBet (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 11:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)46.00I 2.17%NM 2.17%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.83%0.2%2026-04-09 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)44.00I 2.27%NM 2.27%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.73%0.3%2026-04-09 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%1.0%2026-04-09 11:30
Smarkets50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%1.0%2026-04-09 11:30
Matchbook50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%1.0%2026-04-09 11:30
ProphetX50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%1.0%2026-04-09 11:30
Novig28.57I 3.50%NM 3.38%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.62%3.5%2026-04-09 11:30