L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Tomas Machac v Jannik Sinner
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tomas Machac (Local)
Prévision 5.09%19.65cote équitable
EV +108.69%
Avantage +2.65%
Kelly +2.72%
Croissance +2.95%
avec la cote maximale 41.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
2.40%5.29%5.25%9.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
10.0017.7315.0041.0010.00%5.64%6.67%2.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jannik Sinner (Visiteur)
Prévision 94.91%1.05cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -32.34%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
90.58%94.71%94.75%97.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.021.011.04100.00%98.36%99.01%96.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.40%EV +108.69%E +2.65%K +2.72%G +2.95% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.60%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%EV +78.15%E +2.23%K +2.30%G +1.80% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Paddy Power | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +73.06%E +2.15%K +2.21%G +1.62% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%EV +52.70%E +1.76%K +1.82%G +0.958% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| 888sport | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +47.61%E +1.64%K +1.70%G +0.810% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| BoyleSports | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Coral | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| BetMGM | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| theScore Bet | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Bovada | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +32.34%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.418% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 11:29 |
| 1xBet | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +6.89%E +0.328%K +0.344%G +0.024% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-09 11:18 |
| Betclic (FR) | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +1.80%E +0.090%K +0.095%G +0.002% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -3.29%E -0.173%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 11:29 |
| Betway | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -3.29%E -0.173%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -8.38%E -0.466%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 11:27 |
| Pinnacle | 17.79I 5.62%NM 5.52%EV -9.45%E -0.531%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.48%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Coolbet | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.46%EV -10.93%E -0.624%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.54%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Fanatics | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -13.47%E -0.792%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -5.09%E -5.09%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -18.56%E -1.16%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -18.56%E -1.16%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -18.56%E -1.16%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| William Hill | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| SportsBet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| ReBet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| PlayUp | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.65%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 11:22 |
| NordicBet | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -26.20%E -1.81%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Betsson | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -26.20%E -1.81%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 11:29 |
| GTbets | 14.06I 7.11%NM 6.83%EV -28.43%E -2.02%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.17%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 11:18 |
| Bet Right | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -28.74%E -2.05%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 11:26 |
| Bet Victor | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 11:27 |
| Virgin Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 11:27 |
| Neds | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Caesars | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.83%E -2.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 11:28 |
| Betr (AU) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -36.38%E -2.91%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Bally Bet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -38.92%E -3.24%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| TAB | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -38.92%E -3.24%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 11:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -41.47%E -3.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| Casumo | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| Unibet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| betPARX | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -44.01%E -4.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 11:26 |
| LeoVegas | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -46.56%E -4.43%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 11:26 |
| TABtouch | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -1.29%E -1.24%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| Grosvenor | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -2.24%E -2.18%K -74.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -3.19%E -3.13%K -159.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -49.10%E -4.91%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.14%E -4.10%K -414.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 11:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.17% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.83% | 0.2% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 44.00I 2.27%NM 2.27% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.73% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Smarkets | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| ProphetX | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |
| Novig | 28.57I 3.50%NM 3.38% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.62% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |