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Roberto Bautista Agut v Matteo Berrettini
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Roberto Bautista Agut (Хозяева)
Прогноз 26.91%3.72справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.61%
Преимущество +0.938%
Kelly +1.27%
Рост +0.046%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.80%26.91%27.08%30.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.513.503.8532.26%28.51%28.57%25.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Matteo Berrettini (Гости)
Прогноз 73.09%1.37справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.79%
Преимущество -2.10%
Kelly -8.47%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.33
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
69.98%73.09%72.92%75.20%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.07%76.92%75.19%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Roberto Bautista Agut (Хозяева): 26.91%; Matteo Berrettini (Гости): 73.09%. Для исхода «Roberto Bautista Agut (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.72. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.85, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.61%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +3.61%E +0.938%K +1.27%G +0.046% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.18%E -5.65%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39%EV +2.81%E +0.734%K +0.995%G +0.028% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.61%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +0.922%E +0.246%K +0.335%G +0.003% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.84%EV +0.383%E +0.103%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.16%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 08:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -0.962%E -0.261%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -0.962%E -0.261%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -1.50%E -0.410%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -1.77%E -0.485%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.52%E -2.67%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 08:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 05:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.18%E -5.65%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -4.73%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.84%EV -3.52%E -2.67%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.00%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 08:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.45%E -5.04%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.64%E -6.91%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 08:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 08:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 04:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 04:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 04:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.45%E -5.04%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.18%E -5.65%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 01:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 04:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 04:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.53%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 08:53 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -16.57%E -5.35%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.79%E -2.10%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 09:30 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 1.5% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38% | 2.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |