La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Roberto Bautista Agut v Matteo Berrettini
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Roberto Bautista Agut (Casa)
Previsione 26.91%3.72quota equa
EV +3.61%
Vantaggio +0.938%
Kelly +1.27%
Crescita +0.046%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.80%26.91%27.08%30.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.513.503.8532.26%28.51%28.57%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Matteo Berrettini (Trasferta)
Previsione 73.09%1.37quota equa
EV -2.79%
Vantaggio -2.10%
Kelly -8.47%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.98%73.09%72.92%75.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.07%76.92%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +3.61%E +0.938%K +1.27%G +0.046% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.18%E -5.65%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39%EV +2.81%E +0.734%K +0.995%G +0.028% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.61%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +0.922%E +0.246%K +0.335%G +0.003% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.84%EV +0.383%E +0.103%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.16%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 08:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -0.962%E -0.261%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -0.962%E -0.261%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| SportsBet | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -1.50%E -0.410%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -1.77%E -0.485%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.52%E -2.67%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 08:39 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 05:00 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.18%E -5.65%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| ReBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| GTbets | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -4.73%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.84%EV -3.52%E -2.67%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| 1xBet | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.00%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 08:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Unibet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Casumo | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Grosvenor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| LeoVegas | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Bally Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| betPARX | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| TAB | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.45%E -5.04%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Everygame | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.64%E -6.91%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 08:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| theScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 08:05 |
| PlayUp | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 04:44 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 04:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 04:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.45%E -5.04%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.18%E -5.65%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 01:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 04:44 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 04:44 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.53%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 08:53 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -16.57%E -5.35%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.79%E -2.10%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 09:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Matchbook | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| ProphetX | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Novig | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 1.5% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38% | 2.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |