A Escola das Odds

Roberto Bautista Agut v Matteo Berrettini

Início: 2026-04-07 09:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Roberto Bautista Agut (Local)

Previsão 26.91%3.72odd justa
EV +3.61%
Vantagem +0.938%
Kelly +1.27%
Crescimento +0.046%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.80%26.91%27.08%30.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.513.503.8532.26%28.51%28.57%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)

Previsão 73.09%1.37odd justa
EV -2.79%
Vantagem -2.10%
Kelly -8.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.98%73.09%72.92%75.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.07%76.92%75.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +3.61%E +0.938%K +1.27%G +0.046%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.18%E -5.65%K -26.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 08:40
Pinnacle3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39%EV +2.81%E +0.734%K +0.995%G +0.028%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.61%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 08:40
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +0.922%E +0.246%K +0.335%G +0.003%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 08:50
Betclic (FR)3.73I 26.81%NM 25.84%EV +0.383%E +0.103%K +0.140%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.16%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 08:49
LowVig.ag3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -0.962%E -0.261%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 08:40
BetOnline.ag3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -0.962%E -0.261%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 08:40
SportsBet3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -1.50%E -0.410%K -0.564%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:40
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -1.77%E -0.485%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.52%E -2.67%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 08:15
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 08:10
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 08:39
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 05:00
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 08:40
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 08:40
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.18%E -5.65%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 08:50
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 08:40
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 08:15
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 08:15
ReBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 08:40
GTbets3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -4.73%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.84%EV -3.52%E -2.67%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 08:40
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.00%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 08:50
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 08:09
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:15
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:15
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:15
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:10
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:10
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:10
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:10
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:10
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:10
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:10
Bally Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:10
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:10
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:10
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:10
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:15
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:49
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:40
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:40
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.45%E -5.04%K -23.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 08:40
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.64%E -6.91%K -34.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-07 08:54
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 08:50
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 08:05
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 08:40
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 04:44
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 04:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 04:44
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 08:15
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.45%E -5.04%K -23.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 08:55
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.18%E -5.65%K -26.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 01:55
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 08:10
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 08:10
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 08:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 04:44
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 04:44
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.53%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 08:53
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -16.57%E -5.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.79%E -2.10%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 09:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-04-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-04-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-04-07 08:55
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-04-07 08:55
ProphetX4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-04-07 08:55
Novig3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%1.5%2026-04-07 08:40
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%2.8%2026-04-07 08:55