Idioma:Español
Roberto Bautista Agut v Matteo Berrettini
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Roberto Bautista Agut (Local)
Predicción 26.91%3.72momio equitativo
EV +3.61%
Ventaja +0.938%
Kelly +1.27%
Crecimiento +0.046%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.80%26.91%27.08%30.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.513.503.8532.26%28.51%28.57%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)
Predicción 73.09%1.37momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -2.10%
Kelly -8.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.98%73.09%72.92%75.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.07%76.92%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Roberto Bautista Agut (Local): 26.91%; Matteo Berrettini (Visitante): 73.09%. Para Roberto Bautista Agut (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.72. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.61%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +3.61%E +0.938%K +1.27%G +0.046% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.18%E -5.65%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39%EV +2.81%E +0.734%K +0.995%G +0.028% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.61%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +0.922%E +0.246%K +0.335%G +0.003% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.84%EV +0.383%E +0.103%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.16%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 08:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -0.962%E -0.261%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -0.962%E -0.261%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -1.50%E -0.410%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -1.77%E -0.485%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.52%E -2.67%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 08:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 05:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.12%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.18%E -5.65%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -4.73%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.84%EV -3.52%E -2.67%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.00%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 08:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.45%E -5.04%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.64%E -6.91%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 08:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 08:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 04:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 04:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 04:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.45%E -5.04%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.18%E -5.65%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 01:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 04:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 04:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.53%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 08:53 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -16.57%E -5.35%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.79%E -2.10%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 09:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 1.5% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38% | 2.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |