Language:English
Marton Fucsovics v Alejandro Tabilo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marton Fucsovics (Local)
Prediction 37.32%2.68fair odd
EV +0.775%
Edge +0.287%
Kelly +0.456%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.25%37.39%37.42%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.542.552.7042.55%39.33%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visit)
Prediction 62.68%1.60fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -3.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.10%62.61%62.58%64.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.501.5670.42%67.06%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marton Fucsovics (Local): 37.32%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visit): 62.68%. For Marton Fucsovics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.775%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +0.775%E +0.287%K +0.456%G +0.004% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.09%E -0.412%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.09%E -0.412%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -1.46%E -0.555%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -3.48%E -2.26%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.11%E -2.68%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 14:07 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -4.08%E -1.59%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.11%E -2.68%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 14:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.73%E -3.11%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.12%E -6.29%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.57%E -2.20%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.23%E -1.43%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-05 15:02 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.85%E -1.84%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.11%E -2.68%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.11%E -2.68%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.73%E -3.11%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.73%E -3.11%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 14:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.06%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.48%E -2.26%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 14:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.41%EV -7.44%E -3.00%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.59%EV -11.00%E -7.75%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -8.49%E -5.82%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.14%EV -9.68%E -4.00%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.86%EV -10.37%E -7.25%K -24.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.42%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -12.29%E -5.23%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.23%E -1.43%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 14:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.29%E -5.23%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13% | 1.7% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33% | 2.5% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |