L’École des cotes

Marton Fucsovics v Alejandro Tabilo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Marton Fucsovics (Local)

Prévision 37.32%2.68cote équitable
EV +0.775%
Avantage +0.287%
Kelly +0.456%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.25%37.39%37.42%39.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.542.552.7042.55%39.33%39.22%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.68%1.60cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -3.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.10%62.61%62.58%64.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.491.501.5670.42%67.06%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +0.775%E +0.287%K +0.456%G +0.004%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:05
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.09%E -0.412%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 15:05
1xBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.09%E -0.412%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 14:54
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -1.46%E -0.555%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -3.48%E -2.26%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 14:10
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:05
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:05
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:05
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:04
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:05
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:05
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.11%E -2.68%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 15:05
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 15:05
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 15:05
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 15:05
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 15:04
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 15:05
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 15:04
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 14:07
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:04
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:05
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 15:05
SportsBet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -4.08%E -1.59%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 15:00
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.11%E -2.68%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 14:09
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.73%E -3.11%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 14:55
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 14:55
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 15:05
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 15:05
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 14:50
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 15:04
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 15:04
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 15:05
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.12%E -6.29%K -20.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 15:05
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.57%E -2.20%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.23%E -1.43%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 15:02
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.85%E -1.84%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 15:04
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.11%E -2.68%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 14:10
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.11%E -2.68%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 14:55
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.73%E -3.11%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 15:00
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.73%E -3.11%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:10
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 15:05
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 14:55
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 14:09
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 15:00
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 14:10
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 14:10
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 15:05
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 15:05
GTbets2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.06%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.48%E -2.26%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 14:09
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.41%EV -7.44%E -3.00%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.59%EV -11.00%E -7.75%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 14:10
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 14:10
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 15:04
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 15:00
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -8.49%E -5.82%K -18.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 15:05
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.14%EV -9.68%E -4.00%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.86%EV -10.37%E -7.25%K -24.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 14:10
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.42%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 14:10
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -12.29%E -5.23%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.23%E -1.43%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 14:09
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.29%E -5.23%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 15:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-04-05 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-04-05 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-04-05 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-04-05 14:55
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%1.7%2026-04-05 15:05
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.5%2026-04-05 14:50
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%6.4%2026-04-05 15:05