A Escola das Odds

Marton Fucsovics v Alejandro Tabilo

Início: 2026-04-05 16:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Marton Fucsovics (Local)

Previsão 37.32%2.68odd justa
EV +0.775%
Vantagem +0.287%
Kelly +0.456%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.25%37.39%37.42%39.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.542.552.7042.55%39.33%39.22%37.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)

Previsão 62.68%1.60odd justa
EV -2.23%
Vantagem -1.43%
Kelly -3.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.10%62.61%62.58%64.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.421.491.501.5670.42%67.06%66.67%64.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +0.775%E +0.287%K +0.456%G +0.004%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:05
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.09%E -0.412%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 15:05
1xBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.09%E -0.412%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 14:54
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -1.46%E -0.555%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -3.48%E -2.26%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 14:10
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:05
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:05
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:05
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:04
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:05
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:05
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.11%E -2.68%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 15:05
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 15:05
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 15:05
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 15:05
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 15:04
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 15:05
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 15:04
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 14:07
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:04
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:05
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 15:05
SportsBet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -4.08%E -1.59%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 15:00
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.11%E -2.68%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 14:09
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.73%E -3.11%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 14:55
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 14:55
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 15:05
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 15:05
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 14:50
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 15:04
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 15:04
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 15:05
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.12%E -6.29%K -20.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 15:05
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.57%E -2.20%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.23%E -1.43%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 15:02
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.85%E -1.84%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 15:04
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.11%E -2.68%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 14:10
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.11%E -2.68%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 14:55
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.73%E -3.11%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 15:00
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.73%E -3.11%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:10
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 15:05
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 14:55
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 14:09
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 15:00
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 14:10
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 14:10
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 15:05
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 15:05
GTbets2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.06%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.48%E -2.26%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 14:09
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.41%EV -7.44%E -3.00%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.59%EV -11.00%E -7.75%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 14:10
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 14:10
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 15:04
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 15:00
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -8.49%E -5.82%K -18.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 15:05
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.14%EV -9.68%E -4.00%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.86%EV -10.37%E -7.25%K -24.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 14:10
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.42%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 14:10
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -12.29%E -5.23%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.23%E -1.43%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 14:09
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.29%E -5.23%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 15:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-04-05 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-04-05 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-04-05 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-04-05 14:55
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%1.7%2026-04-05 15:05
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.5%2026-04-05 14:50
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%6.4%2026-04-05 15:05