La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Marton Fucsovics v Alejandro Tabilo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marton Fucsovics (Local)
Predicción 37.32%2.68momio equitativo
EV +0.775%
Ventaja +0.287%
Kelly +0.456%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.25%37.39%37.42%39.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.542.552.7042.55%39.33%39.22%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)
Predicción 62.68%1.60momio equitativo
EV -2.23%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -3.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.10%62.61%62.58%64.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.491.501.5670.42%67.06%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +0.775%E +0.287%K +0.456%G +0.004% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.09%E -0.412%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.09%E -0.412%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -1.46%E -0.555%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -3.48%E -2.26%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| betPARX | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.11%E -2.68%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Betway | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.21%E -0.844%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 14:07 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -4.08%E -1.59%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 15:00 |
| ReBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.11%E -2.68%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 14:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.73%E -3.11%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Betsson | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.82%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.12%E -6.29%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.57%E -2.20%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.23%E -1.43%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-05 15:02 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.85%E -1.84%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.11%E -2.68%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| Bally Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.11%E -2.68%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.73%E -3.11%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.73%E -3.11%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 14:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 15:00 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| GTbets | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.06%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.48%E -2.26%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 14:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.41%EV -7.44%E -3.00%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.59%EV -11.00%E -7.75%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| Fliff | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.87%E -5.35%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -8.49%E -5.82%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.14%EV -9.68%E -4.00%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.86%EV -10.37%E -7.25%K -24.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.42%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| Caesars | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -12.29%E -5.23%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.23%E -1.43%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 14:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.29%E -5.23%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.99%E -3.99%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13% | 1.7% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33% | 2.5% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Novig | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |