The School of Odds

Lorenzo Musetti v Valentin Vacherot

Matchstart: 2026-04-08 16:03 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

59 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Lorenzo Musetti (Hemma)

Prognos 69.66%1.44rättvist odds
EV +5.88%
Fördel +3.87%
Kelly +11.31%
Tillväxt +0.665%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.52

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
62.19%69.29%69.99%74.23%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.251.381.351.5280.00%72.64%74.07%65.79%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Valentin Vacherot (Borta)

Prognos 30.34%3.30rättvist odds
EV +10.75%
Fördel +2.94%
Kelly +4.06%
Tillväxt +0.436%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.77%30.71%30.01%37.81%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.503.003.053.6540.00%33.30%32.79%27.40%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (59 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +5.88%E +3.87%K +11.31%G +0.665%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -24.15%E -9.66%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 15:55
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV +4.49%E +2.99%K +8.98%G +0.403%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -16.26%E -5.89%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-08 16:01
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV +4.49%E +2.99%K +8.98%G +0.403%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -16.86%E -6.15%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 15:57
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV +4.49%E +2.99%K +8.98%G +0.403%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -16.86%E -6.15%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 15:57
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +3.09%E +2.09%K +6.45%G +0.200%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -19.60%E -7.39%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 15:53
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV +3.09%E +2.09%K +6.45%G +0.200%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -24.15%E -9.66%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 15:35
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV +3.09%E +2.09%K +6.45%G +0.200%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -24.15%E -9.66%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 15:35
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +2.40%E +1.63%K +5.10%G +0.122%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 15:33
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +2.40%E +1.63%K +5.10%G +0.122%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 15:34
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV +2.40%E +1.63%K +5.10%G +0.122%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -17.47%E -6.42%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 15:35
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +2.40%E +1.63%K +5.10%G +0.122%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -19.60%E -7.39%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 15:53
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV +1.70%E +1.17%K +3.70%G +0.063%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 15:35
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV +1.70%E +1.17%K +3.70%G +0.063%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -18.08%E -6.70%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 15:35
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +0.308%E +0.214%K +0.701%G +0.002%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 15:34
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +0.308%E +0.214%K +0.701%G +0.002%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 15:55
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV +0.308%E +0.214%K +0.701%G +0.002%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -21.11%E -8.12%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 15:35
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -0.388%E -0.271%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -14.74%E -5.25%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 15:50
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -0.388%E -0.271%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -18.08%E -6.70%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 15:35
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 16:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -15.04%E -5.37%K -8.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:00
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -15.04%E -5.37%K -8.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:01
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 16:00
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 16:00
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 16:00
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 16:01
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 16:00
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:00
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:00
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:00
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:00
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:00
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:00
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV -3.21%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:00
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 16:00
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 16:00
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.127%E +0.038%K +0.055%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 16:00
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 16:00
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -10.49%E -3.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-08 16:00
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.64%E +0.491%K +0.699%G +0.011%5.0%2026-04-08 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 16:00
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 16:00
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:00
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.39%E -0.428%K -0.618%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:00
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.39%E -0.428%K -0.618%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-08 16:00
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-08 16:00
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -8.75%E -6.68%K -28.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +6.19%E +1.77%K +2.48%G +0.154%4.9%2026-04-08 16:00
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.75%E -6.68%K -28.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +0.127%E +0.038%K +0.055%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 16:00
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -8.75%E -6.68%K -28.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:00
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -8.75%E -6.68%K -28.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 16:00
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.44%E -7.26%K -31.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +0.127%E +0.038%K +0.055%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 16:00
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -9.44%E -7.26%K -31.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -1.39%E -0.428%K -0.618%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:00
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -10.14%E -7.86%K -34.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -1.39%E -0.428%K -0.618%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 16:00
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -10.14%E -7.86%K -34.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 16:01
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.14%E -7.86%K -34.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-08 16:00
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -10.84%E -8.47%K -38.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +10.75%E +2.94%K +4.06%G +0.436%5.5%2026-04-08 16:01
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -12.93%E -10.34%K -51.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +9.23%E +2.56%K +3.55%G +0.328%7.8%2026-04-08 16:01
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-04-08 16:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-04-08 16:00
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-04-08 16:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-04-08 16:00
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-04-08 16:01
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%2.8%2026-04-08 16:00
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%6.1%2026-04-08 16:00