A Escola das OddsIdioma:Português
Lorenzo Musetti v Valentin Vacherot
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Lorenzo Musetti (Local)
Previsão 69.66%1.44odd justa
EV +5.88%
Vantagem +3.87%
Kelly +11.31%
Crescimento +0.665%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.52
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.19%69.29%69.99%74.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.381.351.5280.00%72.64%74.07%65.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Valentin Vacherot (Visitante)
Previsão 30.34%3.30odd justa
EV +10.75%
Vantagem +2.94%
Kelly +4.06%
Crescimento +0.436%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.77%30.71%30.01%37.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.503.003.053.6540.00%33.30%32.79%27.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +5.88%E +3.87%K +11.31%G +0.665% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -24.15%E -9.66%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 15:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV +4.49%E +2.99%K +8.98%G +0.403% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -16.26%E -5.89%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-08 16:01 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV +4.49%E +2.99%K +8.98%G +0.403% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -16.86%E -6.15%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 15:57 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV +4.49%E +2.99%K +8.98%G +0.403% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -16.86%E -6.15%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 15:57 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +3.09%E +2.09%K +6.45%G +0.200% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -19.60%E -7.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 15:53 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV +3.09%E +2.09%K +6.45%G +0.200% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -24.15%E -9.66%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV +3.09%E +2.09%K +6.45%G +0.200% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -24.15%E -9.66%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| Bovada | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +2.40%E +1.63%K +5.10%G +0.122% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 15:33 |
| BetUS | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +2.40%E +1.63%K +5.10%G +0.122% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 15:34 |
| GTbets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV +2.40%E +1.63%K +5.10%G +0.122% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -17.47%E -6.42%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +2.40%E +1.63%K +5.10%G +0.122% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -19.60%E -7.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 15:53 |
| ReBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV +1.70%E +1.17%K +3.70%G +0.063% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV +1.70%E +1.17%K +3.70%G +0.063% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -18.08%E -6.70%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +0.308%E +0.214%K +0.701%G +0.002% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 15:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +0.308%E +0.214%K +0.701%G +0.002% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 15:55 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV +0.308%E +0.214%K +0.701%G +0.002% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -21.11%E -8.12%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -0.388%E -0.271%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -14.74%E -5.25%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -0.388%E -0.271%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -18.08%E -6.70%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -15.04%E -5.37%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -15.04%E -5.37%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 16:01 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 16:01 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Casumo | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV -3.21%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.127%E +0.038%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -10.49%E -3.56%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Unibet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.64%E +0.491%K +0.699%G +0.011% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Caesars | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.39%E -0.428%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.39%E -0.428%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -8.75%E -6.68%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +6.19%E +1.77%K +2.48%G +0.154% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.75%E -6.68%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +0.127%E +0.038%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -8.75%E -6.68%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -8.75%E -6.68%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.44%E -7.26%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +0.127%E +0.038%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -9.44%E -7.26%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -1.39%E -0.428%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -10.14%E -7.86%K -34.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -1.39%E -0.428%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Fliff | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -10.14%E -7.86%K -34.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 16:01 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.14%E -7.86%K -34.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| betPARX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -10.84%E -8.47%K -38.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +10.75%E +2.94%K +4.06%G +0.436% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 16:01 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -12.93%E -10.34%K -51.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +9.23%E +2.56%K +3.55%G +0.328% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 16:01 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-04-08 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.7% | 2026-04-08 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.9% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-04-08 16:01 |
| ProphetX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.8% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Novig | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |