La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lorenzo Musetti v Valentin Vacherot
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lorenzo Musetti (Local)
Predicción 69.66%1.44momio equitativo
EV +5.88%
Ventaja +3.87%
Kelly +11.31%
Crecimiento +0.665%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.19%69.29%69.99%74.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.381.351.5280.00%72.64%74.07%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Valentin Vacherot (Visitante)
Predicción 30.34%3.30momio equitativo
EV +10.75%
Ventaja +2.94%
Kelly +4.06%
Crecimiento +0.436%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%30.71%30.01%37.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.503.003.053.6540.00%33.30%32.79%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +5.88%E +3.87%K +11.31%G +0.665% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -24.15%E -9.66%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 15:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV +4.49%E +2.99%K +8.98%G +0.403% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -16.26%E -5.89%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-08 16:01 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV +4.49%E +2.99%K +8.98%G +0.403% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -16.86%E -6.15%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 15:57 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV +4.49%E +2.99%K +8.98%G +0.403% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -16.86%E -6.15%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 15:57 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +3.09%E +2.09%K +6.45%G +0.200% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -19.60%E -7.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 15:53 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV +3.09%E +2.09%K +6.45%G +0.200% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -24.15%E -9.66%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV +3.09%E +2.09%K +6.45%G +0.200% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -24.15%E -9.66%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| Bovada | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +2.40%E +1.63%K +5.10%G +0.122% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 15:33 |
| BetUS | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +2.40%E +1.63%K +5.10%G +0.122% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 15:34 |
| GTbets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV +2.40%E +1.63%K +5.10%G +0.122% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -17.47%E -6.42%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +2.40%E +1.63%K +5.10%G +0.122% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -19.60%E -7.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 15:53 |
| ReBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV +1.70%E +1.17%K +3.70%G +0.063% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV +1.70%E +1.17%K +3.70%G +0.063% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -18.08%E -6.70%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +0.308%E +0.214%K +0.701%G +0.002% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 15:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +0.308%E +0.214%K +0.701%G +0.002% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 15:55 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV +0.308%E +0.214%K +0.701%G +0.002% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -21.11%E -8.12%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -0.388%E -0.271%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -14.74%E -5.25%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -0.388%E -0.271%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -18.08%E -6.70%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -15.04%E -5.37%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -15.04%E -5.37%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 16:01 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 16:01 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Casumo | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV -3.21%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.127%E +0.038%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -10.49%E -3.56%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Unibet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.64%E +0.491%K +0.699%G +0.011% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Caesars | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.39%E -0.428%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.39%E -0.428%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -8.75%E -6.68%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +6.19%E +1.77%K +2.48%G +0.154% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.75%E -6.68%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +0.127%E +0.038%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -8.75%E -6.68%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -8.75%E -6.68%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.44%E -7.26%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +0.127%E +0.038%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -9.44%E -7.26%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -1.39%E -0.428%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -10.14%E -7.86%K -34.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -1.39%E -0.428%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Fliff | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -10.14%E -7.86%K -34.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 16:01 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.14%E -7.86%K -34.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| betPARX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -10.84%E -8.47%K -38.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +10.75%E +2.94%K +4.06%G +0.436% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 16:01 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -12.93%E -10.34%K -51.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +9.23%E +2.56%K +3.55%G +0.328% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 16:01 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-04-08 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.7% | 2026-04-08 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.9% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-04-08 16:01 |
| ProphetX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.8% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Novig | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |